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Letter to the Honorable Gene Taylor: Resource Implications of the Navy's Fiscal Year 2009 Shipbuilding Plan [i] (June 2008)

handle is hein.congrec/cbo10038 and id is 1 raw text is: June 9, 2008

Honorable Gene Taylor
Chairman
Subcommittee on Seapower and Expeditionary Forces
Committee on Armed Services
U.S. House of Representatives
Washington, DC 20515-6035
Dear Mr. Chairman:
In response to your request, the Congressional Budget Office (CBO) has assessed the
long-term resource implications of the Navy's recently reported shipbuilding plan for
fiscal year 2009. CBO's analysis of that plan and of information from the Navy about
specific ship programs indicates the following:
 Executing the Navy's most recent 30-year shipbuilding plan would cost an average
of about $27 billion a year (in 2009 dollars), or more than double the $12.6 billion
a year that the Navy has spent, on average, since 2003. (Unless otherwise indicated,
the cost figures presented in this letter are expressed in billions of 2009 dollars of
budget authority, and years denote fiscal years.) Since CBO testified on this topic
on March 14, the Navy provided additional information that led CBO to increase
its estimate of the annual cost of the shipbuilding plan from $25 billion to
$27 billion.
 After releasing its 2009 report, the Navy discovered a calculation error that caused
the costs initially reported in the 2009 plan to be about 10 percent higher than the
Navy now expects them to be. After correcting for that error, the Navy's estimate of
the costs of implementing its 30-year shipbuilding plan is about 10 percent less
than the estimates that CBO has prepared during the past three years.
 The Navy's 2009 budget request appears to depart from all of the budgetary
assumptions used to develop the service's 2007 and 2008 shipbuilding plans.

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