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Effective Federal Tax Rates: 1979-2001 1 (April 2004)

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Effective Federal Tax Rates: 1979-2001


                  Effective Federal Tax Rates:
                                    1979-2001
                                         April 2004


Updating the series of historical effective tax rates estimated by the Congressional Budget Office
(CBO) and presented in a recent paper, Effective Federal Tax Rates, 1997 to 2000, (1) the
following tables provide values for an additional year--2001.

The tables show effective lax rates for the four largest sources of federal revenues--individual
income taxes, corporate income taxes, payroll taxes, and excise taxes--as well as the total effective
rate for the four taxes combined. The tables also present average pretax and after-tax household
income; counts of households; and shares of taxes, income, and households for each fifth (quintile)
of the income distribution and the top percentiles of households.

Who Pays Taxes

In the analysis, households were assumed to bear the burden of the taxes that they pay directly (for
example, individual income and payroll taxes). Excise taxes were assumed to be borne by
households according to their consumption of taxed goods (tobacco and alcohol) or--in the case of
excise taxes that affect intermediate goods--in proportion to overall consumption. Taxes on
businesses were attributed to households. CBO assumed, as do most economists, that employers'
shares of payroll taxes fall on employees and therefore that the amount of those taxes should be
included in employees' income and the taxes counted as part of employees' tax burden. Corporate
income taxes were assumed to be borne by owners of capital. CBO allocated corporate tax
liabilities to households in proportion to their income from interest, dividends, rents, and capital
gains.

Measuring Income

This analysis is based on adjusted pretax comprehensive household income. That measure
includes all cash income (both taxable and tax-exempt), taxes paid by businesses (which are
imputed to individuals on the basis of assumptions about incidence), employee contributions to 401
(k) retirement plans, and the value of income received in kind from various sources (including
employer-paid health insurance premiums, Medicaie and Medicaid benefits, and food stamps,
among others). The tables use the Census Bureau's fungible value measure to determine the cash
equivalent of in-kind government transfers.

CBO adjusted the resulting measure of comprehensive income for differences in the size of
households in order to assign households to income quintiles. It used adjusted income only to rank
households in the income distribution; values in Tables 1C, 2C, 3C, and 4CA for average income
are based on income unadjusted for household size.

Income Quintiles

The tables report values for both the entire population and for parts of the income distribution.
Quintiles form the basic groups of interest. The tables also include information about households in
the top 10 percent, top 5 percent, and top 1 percent of the income distribution. The analysis does
not show a comparable subdivision of the lowest quintile because effective tax rates and income
are distributed in similar ways for households in different parts of that income group.


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