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CBO's Current Budget Projections [i] (September 2001)

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CBO's Current Budget Projections


CBO's budget projections give the Congress a baseline against which to measure the effects of
proposed changes in tax and spending laws. The projections start with the Congress's most recent
budgetary decisions and show what would happen to the federal budget if no policy changes were
made over the projection period. For revenues and entitlement programs, such as Social Security or
Medicare, the baseline projections generally assume that current laws will continue without change.
For discretionary spending, CBO (as directed by the Deficit Control Act) assumes that budget
authority for discretionary programs will grow at the rate of inflation each year after 2001.

For more information about CBO and its budget projections, please see About CBO.

CBO's most recent set of budget projections (for fiscal years 2001 through 2011) was released on
August 28, 2001, in its publication The Budget and Economic Outlook An Update.

    CBO's Baseline Budget Projections
    Changes in CBO's Baseline Projections of the SurplusSjince May 2Q01
    CBO's Projections of Discretionary Spending Under Alternative Assumptions
    CBO's Baseline Projections of Mandatory Spdin
   • CBO's Baseline Projections of Trust Fund Surpluses



CBO's Baseline Budget Projections (By fiscal year)


Actual
2000 2001


2002  2003  2004  2005  2006  2007   2008  2009  2010  2011


In Billions of Dollars


Revenues
Individual
income taxes
Corporate
income taxes
Social
insurance
taxes
Other

   Total
   On-budget
   Off-budget

Outlays
Discretionary
spending


1,004 1,015  1,039 1,079 1,123

207     149   210   195   215


653     694   727   761   794
  161   152   158   160   .175

2,025 2,011 2,134 2,196 2,307


1,545
481


1,503
507


1,602
532


1,638 1,723
558    584


1,175 1,223

247    253


838    880
  178   187

2,438 2,543
1,822 1,897
616    647


1,286 1,360  1,440 1,528

265     278   292   307


923     967  1,016 1,066
  189   196   204   203

2,663 2,801 2,952 3,103


1,985
679


2,089
  712


2,204
748


2,319
785


1,717 12,970

321    2,584


1,119
185


9,092
1,83-3


3,341 26,479


2,518
  823


19,795
6,684


615   647   689   717    737   759   774   789   812   833   853   878   7,842


Total,
2002-
2011

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