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1 Budgetary Effects of the 2020 Coronavirus Pandemic 1 (June 5, 2020)

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CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE                        Phillip L. Swagel, Director
U.S. Congress
Washington, DC 20515



                                      June 5, 2020



Honorable Rick Scott
United States Senate
Washington, DC 20510

Re: Budgetary Effects of the 2020 Coronavirus Pandemic

Dear Senator:

As you requested, this letter provides information about certain budgetary
effects of the 2020 coronavirus pandemic and the federal government's
response to it.

Effects of Tax Deferrals on Revenues
First, you asked about federal revenues that will be lost because of tax
deferrals. As you noted, revenues collected since late March have been
much weaker than those collected during the same period last year and also
much weaker than the Congressional Budget Office projected earlier this
year. The lower revenues result in part from the economic disruption
caused by the pandemic, which has reduced wages and other taxable
income, and in part from the government's actions to address that
disruption.

The federal government's response included a variety of changes to tax
rules. Some of them reduce the amount of taxes that businesses and
individuals owe; others just allow taxpayers to defer paying taxes.
CBO anticipates that most of the revenues affected by those deferrals will
be collected in July, some will be collected in later years, and some will be
permanently lost. CBO does not have an estimate of the amounts that fall in
each of those categories.

Payroll Taxes. The Coronavirus Aid, Relief, and Economic Security
(CARES) Act allows employers to delay their payments of payroll taxes-
until 2021 and 2022-on wages paid from March 27, 2020, through
December 31, 2020. That delay provides additional liquidity to businesses
that may be facing reduced revenues or increased costs as a result of the


www.cbo.gov

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