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24 Alternative Resol. 1 (2014)

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Mediation Training Improves Litigation Outcomes
              Annual   ADR Section CLE:
              January   23, 2015  in Austin


                        Trial lawyers with
                        mediation  training
                        make  the right call
                        on  whether to ac-
                        cept the last offer
                        or proceed  to trial
                        more   often  than
those without it. In fact, plaintiffs attorneys
reduced their error rate with mediation train-
ing by  12%  and  defendant's attorneys re-
duced theirs by 4%.

Palo Alto decision analyst Randall Kiser has
been  studying jury verdicts against the last
offers and demands  for a decade. His study
of California attorneys, Jonathan D. Glater,
Study Finds Settling Is Better That Going to
Trial (Aug. 7, 2008), made the front page of
The New   York  Times. He has since broad-
ened the research to other states.

Kiser's findings have been widely discussed
and  critiqued, but the methodology   was
straightforward: if the verdict fell below the
defendant's last offer, it was an error not to
take that offer even  if the  plaintiff was
awarded  something. Same  for the defendant:
they erred if the verdict exceeded the plain-
tiff's last demand.

Kiser also measured the cost of error. It's one
thing for a plaintiff to technically miss the
last offer, it's another to miss is it by a large
margin. So the cost of error was simply the
magnitude of the error in dollars.


Plaintiffs were technically wrong (60% error
rate) more often that defendants (25%). But
defendant's cost of error was much  higher
when   they were  wrong:    $1,403,654  v.
$73,400.


Cost of Eror


   i or Rate
L C t f FrTO


A______    i on


$73,,M0   S64


2159


ImproveFent


I.,


W9,200$ .OO  ~   5k


Interestingly, trial lawyers who also had me-
diation training were found to have both low-
er error rates and cost of error. Kiser con-
trolled for a number of factors not knowing
which would  affect these numbers. He meas-
ured whether  law school  or firm, years of
practice, and other variables reduced errors.
But the only variable that materially reduced
error rates and the cost of those errors turned
out to be whether the advocates been trained
in mediation.

Overall, trial attorneys with mediation train-
ing made  fewer  errors and they cost less.
Plaintiffs attorneys with mediation training
made  12%  fewer errors and they cost $5,000
less. Defendant's attorneys made 4%  fewer
errors and they cost $514,454 less.


E


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