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1 1 (May 9, 2023)

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Key  Points

        The Fedry ubsdied rop insurane prograr uarantees that farmers wvin  receive close to
        their expected reveres every year while relying on a costly del very syster operated by private
        insurance cornpanies.
        S he Pasture, Rangelard, Forage risurarce program, which uses existing data frn the
        Natiornai tcearic and Atmospheric Adi is tration to calculate pavouts based on weather in a
        i2-by 2-rmile grid systemp, prs a c m.  f- a  nore efoicent alternative to crop insurnce.

        Such a progra rn wou d protect tarrners rom semic risk without sending biions of federal
        dollars to orivate isuraInc coranries wh i- -rving a broader portfolio of croos.


Several Monthly H arvest reports have focused on the
waste, adverse producton and input use impacts, ennv-
ronrnental concerns, and other ncgative effects asso-
erated with the current heavily subsidized federal crop
insurance program;  These we] i-established concerns
are fotunded in a substantial body of research. Howecvr,
i. the short terin, from a political perspective, Tnding
the current program is infeasible. Thus, it is import-
ant to consider how improvements to the federal crop
insurance program woud  look.
   In this report, we argue that replacing the current
crop insurance program with a weather-based area index
program would overcome  many of the issues associated
with the eurrent crop insurance program. A weather-
based program  would  not only  substantially reduce
administrative costs, focusing insurance on  major
disasters rather than paying farms for small decreases
in expected revenues, but also mitigate discrepancics
across commodites.  A recent estimate demonstrated.
tnat if such a weather-based program were to replace


the current crop insurance system, program costs could
be reduced by around 30 percent, with few impacts on
the average subsidies paid to farrers
   In what follows, we go through each reason replacing
crop insurance with an index insurance program woutd
deliver a consistent safety net to farmers and ranchers
while eliminating much. of the waste irwoivedi ini cur-
rent programs. Much of what is discussed is based on
previous work by Eric J.r Belasco, ,itsph CoopEr, and.
Vincent H.  Smith, who use weather  data to predict
crop yields that can be used to trigger payments when
droughts occur.


The  High   Ad    inistrative Cost  of Existing
Crop   Insurance   Policies

As  discussed in a Febnrary  co2a Monthly  Harvest
report,4 the cost of delivering crop insurance as thte
major  agricu lu ral saferyt-net program in the United
States includes an approximately 6o percent subsidy

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