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1 [1] (October 14, 2022)

handle is hein.amenin/aeiaelg0001 and id is 1 raw text is: Survey Center on American Life October 2022 Gener, Generation, and Abortion Shifting Politics and Perspectives After Roe By Daniel A. Cox and Karlyn Bowman Key Points a Most of the country views abortion as a complicated issue that does not have one straight- fo rward answer, g Young vvomen stand out as a group that cares about abortion rights, follows them, and supports them more fiercely than any other group. x Abortion is potentially a generation-defining issue that could be a top priority for young voters for years to corne. Midterm elections that feature an unpopular incum- bent president, acute feelings of economic discon- tent, and widescread pessimism about the future are not usually close contests. The party in power nearly always loses seats under these conditions. While Dem- ocrats are projected to lose their majority in the House of Representatives, the picture in the Senate is less clear. Recent polls in some of the most hotly contested races have found Democratic candidates pulling even with or slightly ahead of their Republican opponents in generic ballot tests. Even if pols are exaggerating public support for Democratic candidates, as some suggest, the electoral fortunes of the Democratic can- didates in individual races and nationally are better than one might expect given political fundamentals. Abortion may be an irnportant reason. Three months after the Supreme Court overturned Roe v t'V.de, the issue of abortion continues to gar- ner widespread public attention, Most Americans are still following news about abortion aws and regula- tions. in fact, they are paying far rnore attention to the issue than to the 2022 election itself. Over the sumnier, Gallup found spontaneous mentions of abortion as the most imor ant problem facing the country reaching record highs B3ut after the Dobbs v. jiack son ¼omen s rieout' Orgonzron decision, concerns about abortion have becorne more politicaiy lopsided. Democrats are lar more likely to say the issue is a priority for them and they are paving much closer attention to news about emerging legislation than Republicans N Nearly half of Democrats say abortion is critically important to them, while fevver than one in three Republicans say the same. Not only hat, Democrats are more likely than Republicans to say they will only vote for a candidate who shares their views on abortion-a notable change from the past. At the same time, it's not clear that abortion will define the 2022 midterm elections. Relatively few Americans-roughly one in three-say abortion is a criticai issue. Inflation and crirne rank rnuch higher among the pubic's concerns. it is also not clear that young women. vvho Feel most passionately about the issue, will turn out to vote in greater numbers than in Li;?i'i,'>?iH'CiLirV.LEi':'t)i'Ki?? i:2stii are

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