About | HeinOnline Law Journal Library | HeinOnline Law Journal Library | HeinOnline
LOG IN
LOG IN

1 1 (February 24, 2021)

handle is hein.amenin/aeiadtc0001 and id is 1 raw text is: By Kieran AtIsop, James C. Capretta, and Sc:Att Canrz February 2021 ThJ Ut can emerge from the depths of the C sD cr Sis in the cc)ming months if the federal c.-ernment kads and executes an .,;ctive vaCC na1:on tin i(n if; as appears to be the case, Emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants co not fully evade vaccin'-inducd irnmunity). The limiing factors on the pace of po 2' or ,rot :ckin areh rnanufpctunng -apaity of the apprVedVac cines' sponsors, thee ftIcienoy of CdminiString avalae lostupply, and AreCans w. iltnnesS k- C he 'hots. A y.r dyvnarmics mnd el 2of vacie ia'ne n' dt da.Iy vac- cinatins is useful for estiating whn imprtant objectiis miht be rt. Under a bas; case si-enaro, fhe Uc culd reach a target of 7 percent of the populat on arotec'ed by th nd of U:Y, ssumng nhree million shots per day can be sustain ov'- s vral marnth and vaccine hestancy rececs. TH e'xpacd arrival o' anotheraprv vaccinm (f't Jnon &S h nsan) and tn e pssibilitv f a slowcr, or rnior aid, pace of dailv vaccina ions would aHler the o tlook tn if ren. wrys. In early December 2o0o, then--President--elect hoc Eider set a goal of ad.n-inistrCing iaa millicon COVID-i9 vaccinations in his irst ioc clays in Orice (reurers 2020). The pace achieved since he made that commitment has rendered it obsolete. The US adminmstered more than one million vac-- cinations for the first time on January .i, and the rolling seven-lay average is now around i7 million per day (Bloom berg 22).i While the steady uptick has been welcome, it is below what is needed for a return to near nor- nalcy before the 2021--22 school year. Public heah experts estirnae that bctwee-n a and 85 percent of the population needs to be vaccinated to achieve herd immunity. While that target may be out of reach because of vaccination hesitancy, it is cer- tain to be unattainable without an acceleration in tne pace of daily shots. With the current rate of vaccination (i7 nillion per day), the US would reach 246 million people vaccinated (with two doses)-or 75 percent of the total population.-in late November. There are two constraints holding sack a more effective rollout, The first is, of course, the scale of man facuring approved vaccines. The second is the efficiency of using available supply and getting shots in arn}s. Both need to improve for the coun- try to move quickly out of the acute phase of the Modeling Protection from COVID-19 Based on Vaccine Administration Rates

What Is HeinOnline?

HeinOnline is a subscription-based resource containing thousands of academic and legal journals from inception; complete coverage of government documents such as U.S. Statutes at Large, U.S. Code, Federal Register, Code of Federal Regulations, U.S. Reports, and much more. Documents are image-based, fully searchable PDFs with the authority of print combined with the accessibility of a user-friendly and powerful database. For more information, request a quote or trial for your organization below.



Contact us for annual subscription options:

Contact Us

Already a HeinOnline Subscriber?

Log In

profiles profiles most