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1 1 (July 16, 2020)

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ep -'\ntos and James C. C-apreta


The 2020 Mediaie tustees' repoit released in /,ril did not incorporate hvv the coi-or.nvirus
paidemic would affect progcar: fcinlcs. Ever so, the trustees proect thvi the . Aed..cre Hospi-
  I lnsur,-- ne (HI) trust Fund vill u:,_--u le to full/coer it. oL. began is rir- g in 2026. Whiie
the cost otreating natierts with (OVI .-9 might be ofet by a delay. or reduction in patiert. use
o ,athe- medica se rvf -s, the deep recess: iilOW un -rer,_v-y wil erode payirol tax re-veie ,_-i rd
hasten tIM depl:etion of HI reserves, [he Supplementaiy Medicare insurarce trust fund, vvh:.c.h
accourts for th1e cost of phvsica, ar:d other services and Lhe drug bel,efiL, adds an even Larger
Lu; den ot... t/avr,, C ongqe'' ..nd tnm admint,.tit.on shond refon nn the artiie proiarn to lowei
long-tenn coss while pirotecting the quality of se'vloes provided to the naton eidely.


SARS -CoV-2. is a bi3gnJy transmissible novel coona.vi
-us that is causing COVID-i9 disease in la,ge numbers
of I-S patients. The elderly anid those wit>- preexisting
health condrtions are particuiariv vulnerable to seve c
and dangerous symptomis.
   [he nation's health insurance program  for the
clderihvMedicare  was facing financial challenges
before thc pandemic. The public health cnrisis, ad thc
contraction of the economyW it precipitated, w. ill exac-
erbate those challenges. The annual Medicare trustees'
report docu ents the program's ongoing fiscal prob-
lems. which have serious consequences for futmre gener
ations of American taxpayers and Mcdicarc beNefici arics.
   Because the pandemic's onset onily began to be real
Lied in March, the likely impact on the economy a.
health sector could not be accurately projected. The zozo
report pudently does not speculate about the changes in
Medicare spending and rexcnue that might result, With
add'tional months of exoeience. t seems likely that


Medicare spenditng idi not incr-ease sharply because of
COViD-n9. The immediate threat to Medicare finances
is the loss of payroll tax revenue caused by the spike in
uncmaployiment. Hoecvc-; Medicare spending remains
on. anl. unsustainable course. Substantial reforms are
necded to cnsurc access to affordable, high lquality care
in ,the Medicame program over the long ten.


Medicare's Two Trust Funds
A federal n st fird is an accounting decice for track-
ing a specific government program's spending and reve-
nuc (Peter G. Petcrson Foundation 2.o19) Uinlilkc private
trust funds, a federal trust fund is not a reeositov of eco-
niomic assets. The federal goveinment does not set aside
the reccipts in personal acvounts or invcst them, in pn-
vate assets. _Athougi receipts are recorded as accou-nt
ing crcdits in the trust ind account, they are combined
Mith other receipts that Treasur collects and spends.


A RI CA'.R<I N  LNl-ERPRISE  lNS-I-UiE


UV 2020


t.MVID-19 and the Medicare Trust Funds

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