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1 1 (May 8, 2020)

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ByAndrew G -Biggs


This report uses two( ~ n aa sources to provide nsights on' the evolution of rtirement savis
overthe past tafare. Firrs-'                                            t O FedraN Resere'sSurvey
of Consumer Finances and Dist rbuto  ainai  l AccontDA')   pv Jde .ates o both
household savings in retiremnent acconts and any benefis households accrued under a wradi-
oLW  yde:fined bene pens'on The  NA dat sho   that, fr 1'9'89tr    206  h
retrernert savinas n-aNed 1  every ag,   nme   ;;a  or nducaional grop  This is true
whether retirerent sa-vnas ar reasued in ;nfatioin-adjusted doairs or as the ratio of retire-
ment savings to their annual eainas Second, 1 resrnt previously unpubUshed projecthons
from the Social Security- vIrniistrations Modei of ncomei tihe NearTerr (MINT). The MINT
me odel re'es tht fur   ret iees wil have oeirement incomes as a percentage of preretire--
ment earnings similar t hose of current retirees.


Americzans are concerned aboat retir   Eighty
percent of Democats 1an 75 percent of Republicans
and indee'd'ets  agreed in a 2019 survey that
Armericta is facitng a retirement crisis (Oakley and
Kenneally 201 9) Only 57 percent of Americans -ni
a zo01 Gallup (018) survey expect to have a cont-
fortable retirenernent-the hihes ecorded in the
past is years. Just 25 percent of Gallup's respond-
ents believed theywcre savin'genoughf 1'i'orreiemenlt.
  Jmnericans' worries are partly u;nderstandable.
It is difficult to- k-w how inuch. incorne people
need in retrement or how nuich they should save
today to get thcre. And if people reach rctircmentr
age with insufficient savings they may not nave
na ny options availa ble to address theshortfall. But
Anerican srtiremnentworries toda areeracerbated
by  a cottage industry of resarchern, ntrest
groups, and media reyorts t.hat reinforces the view


that households face a retirement crisis of Made-
quate savings. It is no wonde Americans are worried,
   Many reports attri burr the purported dcelinc in
Anerians' retement:  security to the generations--
long sift from traditional defined benefit (DB)
pensions to deninea contribtion C) rtrmn
accounts,±  oindn 4oi(kas andr inndida rtirement
account-s (IR   's) For instancce a study published by
the progressive-leain Econonic Polic Institutc
states, The shift from pensionsi to accout-ype
savings plans has ben a dlisaster' tori'n loe-incomne,
black, Hispanic, non-college-educated, and single
workers,  -o togerher add up to amajority of the
American popuatio     (Morrissey '019). Monique
IM'orrissey concluden that te US retrement system
does not work for most wo'rkes, which ini her
view undescores  the importance of preservi ng
and expanding Social Security defending defined


May  2020


Changes to Household Redirernent

SayingsSince 1989

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