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1 i (1994)

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                                                 Bitter controversy has
                                                 marked  the brief history
                                                 of cable television-par-
                                                 ticularly over monopoly
                                                 power  and the role of gov-
                                                 ernment  in protecting con-
                                                 sumers. Responding   to
                                                 large price increases to ca-
                                                 ble subscribers, Congress
                                                 moved  in 1992 to subject
                                                 the industry to controls
                                                 until it faces effective
                                                 competition.
                Leland L. Johnson searches out and assesses the most likely
        sources of cable competition during the 1990s and beyond. Among
        questions he addresses in detail are: With the use of fiber-optic tech-
        nologies for both telephone and video services, what are the prospects
        for telephone companies to compete against incumbent cable opera-
        tors? What about direct broadcast satellites, terrestrial wireless
        video systems, and today's broadcasting stations if converted to offer
        advanced multichannel  services? How soon is effective competition
        likely to be achieved?
                From  these possibilities, he focuses on the design of public
        policy flexible enough to accommodate whatever technological and
        marketing opportunities and disappointments emerge.  His objective
        is a framework to ensure that the most efficient firms survive, rather
        than those whose success stems either from their anticompetitive
        activities or from handicaps imposed on their competitors through
        misguided legislative and regulatory constraints. He concludes with
        recommendations   for specific actions by Congress, the Federal Com-
        munications Commission,  and state and local governments.

                           recently retired from RAND  Corporation, is a
        consultant in telecommunications economics.




Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Cambridge, Massachusetts 02142
JOHWH
0-262-10054-1

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