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Strategic Options for Bush

Administration Climate Policy

L-ee   Lakne


President Bushs rejection of the Kyoto Protocol in 2001 was well-publicized, but
most Americans  are only vaguely familiar with the reasons for that decision or
the administration's alternative policies. There is widespread speculation that the
president will propose new policies to combat climate change in his final two years
in office; whether or not that happens, momentum is building in Congress and
federal action on climate change is widely regarded as inevitable. The Kyoto Proto-
cols approach remains a favorite of environmental advocates and their political
allies, as well as a growing number of rent-seeking businesses that stand to profit
under such a system. Unless the Bush administration is willing to cede the future of
climate change policy to the next president, it must take effective steps now to set
American climate change policy on the right path.
    What  new  climate change policies should the federal government adopt? In
Strategic Options for Bush Administration Climate Policy, Lee Lane, the executive direc-
tor of the Climate Policy Center, explores options that policymakers might consider,
as well as the costs and benefits of current policies. His conclusions will surprise
many  environmental advocates: President Bush was right to reject the Kyoto Protocol
and should continue to reject calls for cap-and-trade programs modeled on Kyoto.
Emissions trading would be expensive and ineffective; the costs would be significant
but the environmental benefits would be negligible.
    One  reason climate policy is such a hotly contested issue is the importance of
precedence in American politics: Once the federal government embarks on a given
approach to curtailing greenhouse gases, future policies are likely to follow that
path. With the threat of Kyoto-style cap-and-trade programs looming larger with
each passing year, Lane argues that the Bush administration should consider adopt-
ing a modest carbon tax. This would be vastly more efficient than emissions trading
and would  cut off the growing political momentum towards reengaging with the
Kyoto system. (At the very least, a cap should include a safety valve, providing an
unlimited supply of affordable credits, essentially transforming the trading program
into a tax.)
    Lane also argues that greater attention should be paid to ambitious approaches
to climate change such as geoengineering and the development of breakthrough
clean-energy technologies that could reduce emissions enough to curtail projected
warming. Costly cap-and-trade programs that produce trivial reductions in green-
house gas emissions are simply a waste of money; our resources should focus instead
on actual solutions, not ineffective interim steps.
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      American   Enterprise Institute                           5 2 OO
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         Strategic Options for Bush


Administration Climate Policy

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