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'By Pia PM Orrenius and Mladeine Zavo ny


March 201


:llegl iT igrat or alorg the Southwest boider has Coppei F) levels st seen ci- tohe 1 970s.
vet t focusri sto[ping it has reacI: ci lr e-10 cedentc intensity, :I-r-Iatg i' Februarv in a
tiomal emergccy de  rior~u Manwfile, [he u nauthorid innVi rar.t population h- beer
allng iorat lea a Ccade and Mexico s n longer the so:nce of most una IForized irn-iigr:nt
Over half of new :n uthliorzed irn.rnigrat, aie visa overstave wir enteredr le'.i A listoricail
higF: c:nc:.ri r c.fpoOle atrtVin.r: K *il{-lne along the- .authw'-t :.'Frc ar asylum o:-:k is
r. accoK.O-pani m:qo-s an d familes f-ri Cential Amecri. c ot; cithese grps are arlikely to
be deieLedy ouger bOorider enforcemert. Mear, vlile, tie imlbe of unaUFFoized immfi-
grat we     has beer fa iing ;eadirg to heightened ernpioyer interest in usiin the -I -'A rd
H- 2B vis progran. s  o hire teioiary oren  wor wr-ers. lowever, tise p;rog i: arlke urlkey',
o fy nieet ecr: loy Vrdemn 0o c isskiri etworkeis. This den and vvil onygrowa' tihe numrn-
0f ess-ode cared Li-o)r worers foils. lnstead of  lildirg a wil, tre Uc needs K build programs
thlat nsur  :OUoh woreVs are J viile.


Althougi you might not know it from watching the
news, the rnhuber of unamatuhorized rnmnigrants has
been falling for a decade, and few unauthorized imni-
grants o,:nst itttte a threat to jbl   satfer or naltional
securimty Most of them are b-s, workin-3 at low-
paying, ph-s is.call a, 04ous I:-bs. And akinotigh the
nmber of them has not grown, employer demand
for less-sklled wo -rkers has increased as the econ-.
omy has gained momentm .
   Our higtltech, postindus trial ec-non needs
large numbers of workers to fill jobs that require
little formal educaion Or training but are not easily
antm.,ate-do :ira  .horiccd imnigrants hav e tradi-
tonalty filled many of these Jobs, along width ten-
agers aad aduilts whIo did ntot finish hi.. sch -ol' Blt
demographic changes and a rise in education levels,


combined with nanped-up immigration enforcement,
are lea-ving             joab es-killed 1obs unfilled. This sir-
uation is likely to worsen in the future, regardless
of whetter the US btuilds a ,wall. since many or the
jobs projected to grow the most over the next decade
are ph:ysicaiy intensive and do ino requre a college
dc-re. Temporaj foreigni worker programs arc
Mniikeiy to fill the gap, at least not as currently
structured,
   'This report makes tw,,o main points. First. US
border enforCement can largely be characterized as
a success, particulariy when combined with interior
enforcenento ]-'he number of anaurhom-ed imni-
grants from Mexico living in the U S has fallen over
tse past decade. 'here is little reason to thin .k that
further increases in bordcr enforcem-ent, particula_y


     iws expressed hir ac so:e'i those or the author amd duor reflect tho- of rhe Fedea Rosere Ban[k of Dallas or the
Pedeia_. [-enem '_.   ystein


The US Needs Workers, Not a Wl

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