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1 1 (May 2018)

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By Jason DeBacker and Roy Kasher


May 2018


An important objective of Public Law 115 -97, (ommonly called the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act,
was a reduction in the tax burden on investment, We compute marginal effective tax rates
under 2017 law and under the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act and find significantly lower marginal
effective tax rates under the new law, In addition, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act narrows
disparities in the tax treatment of investment across asset types, organizational form, and
type of financing Finally, we find that the act sharply reduced effective average tax rates as
well as marginal effective tax rates,


Given its large consequences on the US economy,
Public Law 115-97, known as the Tax Cuts and
Jobs Act (TCJA). was passed with relatively little
discussion of its effects, indeed, the hasty legislative
process resulted in drafting mistakes in the bill's
language. The bill's various provisions will have
disparate effects on the tax system. For example,
the increased standard deduction is a push
toward simplification and will likely reduce
compliance costs, but the deduction for qualified
business income from pass-through businesses
will lead to more complexity and higher
comlpliance costs.:,


   Despite this, the Tax Cuts and Jobs Act is
coherent in at least one important respect, From
the pass-through business provisions to the lower
corporate income tax rate, the TCJA makes signif-
icant changes to tax law to stimulate investment
activity.'
   in this article., we use B-Tax, an open-source
model, to measure the changes in investment
incentives brought about by the TCJA. We find
sharp decreases in marginal effective tax rates
(METRs) on new investment and in effective
average tax rates (EATRs), In addition, the TCJA
narrows disparities in the tax treatment of


See Kainin et al (2017) for an overview of the potent:ai margins through which the eogs!tion nay be abused and
DeBacker et ai, (2018 for an example of the effects ef a similai policy in Kansas.
2 A notab ex:eption - e changes related to cot: accounting rui; f:or resnearch and e'e rimena on (R&EL) expens-e;.
The TCJA Feneraliy siows down the cost iecovery associated with R&E, eliminating rules that ailow for immediate
expensing of such costs after 2021, Another excction arises from new restrictions on deductions of net o.eratin
losses, which raise the effective tax rate on risky investments.


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Effective Tax Rates on Business


Investment Under the Tax Cuts and Jobs


Act

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