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Increasing the Standard Deduction

Alex Brill  I  September 20, 2017  1 Tax Brief Series


1 Current Policy
Under current law, taxpayers can claim the standard deduction as an alternative to itemizing de-
ductions. In 2017, the standard deduction is $6,350 for single filers, $9,350 for head of household
filers, and $12,700 for married couples filing jointly.

2 Reform Options
Both the House GOP and President Trump have proposed increasing the standard deduction.
Using the open-source Tax-Calculator, I present results describing the effects of increasing the
standard deduction by 25%, 50%, 100%, and 200%.


     Policy      Taxpayers       Itemizers     Taxpayers     Taxpayers       10-Year
                  Receiving   (millions)  Facing Lower  Paying Zero  Revenue
                  Tax Cut                     Marginal Tax     or Less       Change,
                  (millions)                     Rate        Income Tax       Static
                                               (millions)  (millions)  (billions)

  Current Law        0.0           44.6           0.0           70.8           $0.0

  25 percent        69.2           39.1           11.4          73.9         -$249.0
    increase
    50 percent      74.3           32.8          22.1           77.1         -$504.4
    increase
  100 percent       84.6           23.4          40.2           82.8        -$1,051.4
    increase
  200 percent       92.9           15.3          59.9           93.0        -$2,145.9
    increase

3   Comments
    Under current law, 111.9 million taxpayers are expected to claim the standard deduction and
     44.6 million are expected to itemize their deductions in 2017.
    Expanding the standard deduction narrows the tax base, increasing the number of people
     paying no income tax by 31 percent when the standard deduction is tripled.
    If the standard deduction is doubled, 84.6 million people would receive a tax cut, 40.2 million
     would face lower marginal tax rates, and 82.8 million taxpayers would pay zero or less in
     federal income tax.

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