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1 1 (April 2017)

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Key  Points

  *  Assessing baseline trust in Republican and Democratic leadership is useful when
     assessing prospects for Trump proposals, especially when it comes to education. A
     quick review of the relevant data suggests that, regarding education, Americans have
     historically trusted Democrats more than Republicans.
  *  However, the Democratic advantage has moved  in accord with presidential elections,
     and its lead appeared to shrink in the later years of the Obama administration.
  *  This status quo may change with time. In national polls, school choice tends to be fairly
     popular, which may move public sentiment toward Republicans. Nevertheless, the
     Trump administration looks to have a tough fight ahead against long-standing public
     sentiment as it moves forward on its education agenda.


Whatever else he may be, President Donald Trump
has proved to be a remarkably polarizing figure.
Thus far, he has shown little inclination or ability
to sway centrists. In particular, the support for his
domestic agenda, ranging from health care to his
proposed budget, has mostly amounted to a subset
of the Republican coalition.
   Therefore, assessing baseline trust in Republican
and Democratic  leadership is useful when
contemplating the prospects for Trump proposals.
This is certainly true when it comes to education,
as Trump has boldly declared his support for federal
school choice legislation and named Betsy DeVos,
an impassioned school choice advocate, to serve
as US secretary of education.
   During the nomination process, DeVos was harshly
critiqued by Democrats, teacher union leaders,
journalists, and even late-night comics. DeVos
ultimately edged into office on a 5o-5o vote, when


Vice President Mike Pence tipped the tie in her
favor, but this was just an early look at how heated
the debate became around Trump's education efforts.
   Trump's proposed skinny budget, which called
for cutting $9.2 billion in federal education spending,
encountered fierce criticism. The New York Times
editorial board stated the budget would impose
pain for pain's sake,' and Senator Bernie Sanders
decried it as morally repugnant.2 The debate is
hardly surprising given that Trump has already
sketched out some controversial changes to federal
education policy. These include plans to promote
school choice, sharply reduce federal education
spending, alter Washington's approach to regulating
for-profit colleges, and revamp Obama-era directives
on civil rights enforcement.
   All of this raises timely questions: How does
the public feel about Republicans and Democrats
when  it comes to education? Which party has the


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