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                                                                                 November 2015



Antimicrobial resistance:


How substandard medicines contribute


By Roger Bate


The possibility of reverting to the pre-antibiotic era is increasing. With dirty hospitals, poor prescribing practices by
physicians, and poor patient adherence to correct antibiotic use, the threat was already real. But now an increase in
the production of substandard medicines is probably accelerating antibiotic resistance. The UK government predicts
that antimicrobial resistance (AMR) could cost society afortune within decades. The threat ofAMR is increasing
because of poor-quality medications, and India is ground zero when it comes to most of the problems. Given that
antibiotics are so cheap in India, antibiotic use is, in effect, a substitute for proper sanitation. It is not surprising that
new versions of AMR are now emanating from India. My team ' research shows that at least 6percent of thousands
of antimicrobial medicines sampled from 19 emerging nations are substandard. In nearly every nation, poor-quality
medicines made in India were found. Of the substandard products w e procured, 40 percent were made by legal and
government-protected Indian manufacturers. But India is not the only problem case, and a global effort is required
to identify sloppy production and prevent these products from being used.


T he British government recently assessed the risks
    of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) undermining
health systems in emerging markets and the devel-
oped world. Returning to a pre-antibiotic era would
mean that many surgical procedures now taken for
granted would become high risk, and currently treat-
able diseases could become a likely death sentence. The
potential costs are enormous, undermining trade and
economic growth over the next few decades.

The UK government report suggests that by 2050, per-
haps 6.2 percent of global production ($14.2 trillion)
would be lost because of AMR (KPMG 2014). Right
now, few major pharmaceutical companies prioritize
manufacturing antimicrobial agents, because the prof-
its are far lower than in other areas of research, such as
cancer, hypertension, or diabetes. So with few financial
incentives for companies to find new antimicrobial
agents, the future may be bleak-with old medicines
becoming obsolete and few new medicines emerging.


Most causes of AMR are well-known and covered
by the UK government report. Dirty hospitals have
encouraged dangerous strains of disease, such as
methicillin -resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA)
and Clostridium difficile. The main drivers of AMR
in the West are probably doctors prescribing antibi-
otics for viral infections and patients not completing
courses of antibiotics as they should. But one aspect
of this debate that has not been addressed sufficiently
is medicine quality, which is especially a problem in
emerging markets. Poor-quality medicines are a danger
to patients, but they also are a risk to everyone because
they accelerate resistance.

In the cutthroat world of cheap generic drug produc-
tion, the lowest-cost provider usually wins the contract
to supply-whether it is for a pharmacy chain, a hos-
pital, or even an entire health service. As a result, legiti-
mate manufacturers are constantly looking for ways to
lower costs and beat the competition.


AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE

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