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       Donald Trump: How Big a Factor in November?

 In January, a plurality of registered voters told Pew Research Center pollsters that Donald Trump would not be
 much of a factor in their vote for Congress; of the remainder, a third said their vote would be a vote against him,
 and 21 percent a vote for him. A May CBS News question shows that nearly 4 in lo said their vote would not be
 about Trump; 34 percent said it would be a vote against him, and 23 percent a vote for him. More self-described
 independents said their vote would be a vote against him than for him.

 Q: Do you think of your vote for Congress as a vote for  , as a vote against   , or isn't
 much of a factor in your vote?

                                        Think of vote for Congress as...
                  * A vote for the             A vote against        *  President isn't
                    president                  the president            much of a factor
 George W. Bush
 Feb.2002
 Nov. 2002*

 Feb. 2006
 Nov. 2006*

 Barack Obama
 Feb. 2010
 Oct. 2010

 Apr. 2014
 Oct. 2014

 Donald Trump
 Jan. 2018
 Note: Samples are registered voters. Don't know not shown. *Pre election survey. The earliest and latest surveys in each election
 year are shown. Source: Pew Research Center, latest that of January 2018.

 Q: Do you think of your vote for Congress this fall as... ?
                                                                           Responses of---
                           National (RV) responses                    Reps.    Dems.   Inds.
 Think of vote for Congress as
 A vote for Donald Trump                 23%                           53%      4%      21%
 A vote against Trump                           34                      5      63       31
 Not about Trump                                   39                  38      29      46
 Note: Sample is registered voters.
 Source: CBS News, May 2018.                                          (Continued on the next page)




             A.    M  E R            I C0 A                     3. ENT RP IS I N TI U

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