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1 1 (June 2017)

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Key Points

  * President Trump's defense budget would repair, not rebuild, the military. Worse, it lacks
     the investments necessary to allow a robust rebuilding effort to begin a year from now.
     The request represents a more muscular status quo at best.
   This budget continues a favored Washington tradition of investing in the immediate and
     long term while shortchanging the next three to 15 years. This barbell investment
     strategy emphasizes the conflicts of today and the wars of the distant future, while
     discounting the long bar of the medium term, wherein most strategic and military
     risk lies.
  * President Trump's overall federal spending blueprint suggests that balancing the budget
     ranks above rebuilding the military in the administration's list of priorities. This should
     raise concerns about the president's commitment to rebuilding the military and his
     ability to deliver the legislative changes Congress will need to do so.


It is no secret that President Donald Trump's first
defense budget falls short of his own rhetoric. The
president's budget (PB) request for fiscal year (FY)
2o18 totals $668 billion: a $603 billion base budget
combined with $65 billion in Overseas Contingency
Operations (OCO) funding. The topline is $33 billion
greater than FY2o17 appropriated spending (Table 1)
and $18 billion above President Barack Obama's
planned FY18 base budget request (Table z).1 This
represents a 5.5 percent bump over last year's defense
funding and a more modest 3 percent increase over
his predecessor's expected base budget. No honest
observer would call this a historic increase.
   Worse, President Trump's budget will not begin
to rebuild America's military. To confront rising
threats in Eastern Europe, East Asia, and the Middle
East, America needs to adopt a three-theater force-
sizing construct. This requires robust and balanced


investments in the military to replenish the shrinking
inventories and aging technologies of a force that
can no longer shock and awe its adversaries. In
To Rebuild America's Military, American Enterprise
Institute scholars demonstrated that such a rebuild
could be accomplished through sustained investments
in the military of no less than 4 percent of gross
domestic product (GDP).2 By contrast, Trump's
first budget request represents only 3.4 percent of
next year's projected GDP.
   Many critics have called out Trump for his
underwhelming defense budget. They rightly contend
that rebuilding the military requires significantly
more funding than the president has requested. In
the armed forces, Pentagon leadership has
acknowledged that the 2o18 proposal represents a
repair budget. They have promised that a genuine
rebuild will begin in 2o19, when they aim for a


AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE

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