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1 1 (February 2016)

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201 Defns Budget:


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Dipootintl Pay  the Bills


      resident Obama's fiscal year 2017
        defense budget request (FY17) totals
        $610 billion: a $551 billion base budget
        combined with $58.8 billion in
overseas contingency operations (OCO) funding,
or emergency spending above the legal budget
caps. The president's final budget isat least $18
billion short of hisown request from last year,
setting up both parties for yet another political
fight over thedefense toplineon Capitol Hill.
Worse, inflation meansthe latest defense budget
is actually declining-not rising-in real terms. In
sum, the president's 2017 defense budget cuts
morethan it invests.
In the ongoing defense policy arguments of
capability versus capacity and presence versus
posture, the President's budget has clearly chosen
the future over the present, warfighti ng over
deterrence, and postureover day-to-day
presence. Yet asawhole, the budget signals a
latent if underfunded understanding of the need


for a three-theater force posture, combined with
an effort to begin reversing worrisome trends in
US military technological superiority. The Army
receives its first relative shot in the arm since
2011 with $2.3 billion in new funding for the
European Reassurance Initiative (ERI), whilethe
Air Force and the Navy reap some benefits of
Secretary Ash Carter's down payment on the
Third Offset strategy.
The bottom line isthat even though investments
in cutting-edge technologies are necessary, the
continued shrinking of the military and
heightened cuts to procurement far outweigh any
new growth. Additionally, Secretary Carter's
offset investments are paid for by procurement
reductions not only in 2017, but also throughout
the entire five-year Future Years Defense Plan
(FYD P).


AMERICAN ENTERPRISE INSTITUTE

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