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37 Admin. & Reg. L. News 10 (2011-2012)
Thwarting Nuclear Terrorism through Container Inspections

handle is hein.journals/admreln37 and id is 12 raw text is: Thwarting Nuclear Terrorism
Through Container Inspections
By Nitin Bakshi, Stephen Flynn, and Noah Gans*

Each year, ocean-going vessels
transport millions of shipping
containers to the United States.
These containers provide terrorists
with a potentially attractive way to
hide a nuclear device destined for U.S.
shores.The successful smuggling and
detonation of such a device would be
disastrous. In addition to lives lost, the
detonation of a nuclear device in a
port could lead to losses in the range
of $55-$220 billion. Even if it were not
detonated, the successful smuggling of
a nuclear device into a U.S. port has the
potential to disrupt global supply chains:
anxiety that other containers may
contain nuclear devices would result in
stepped-up inspections that would cause
congestion throughout the global inter-
modal transportation system.
U.S. Security Initiatives in Place
at International Ports
To counter this threat of nuclear
terrorism, the United States has initi-
ated various security measures at both
domestic and foreign ports.Two impor-
tant security measures implemented
at international ports, the Container
Security Initiative (CSI) and the Secure
Freight Initiative (SFI), seek to detect the
presence of nuclear devices in shipping
containers at overseas ports, before such
containers are loaded onto a vessel bound
for the U.S.
CSI, a program administered by U.S.
Customs and Border Protection (CBP),
uses an automated targeting system that
employs rules-based software to iden-
* Nitin Bakshi is an assistant professor at the
London Business School; Stephen Flynn is
president of the Center for National Policy;
Noah Gans is a professor at the Wharton
School, University of Pennsylvania. This
article is a based on the authors' paper,
Estimating the Operational Impact of Container
Inspections at International Ports, 57 MGMT.
Se. 1 20 (January 2011). An earlier version
of the article appeared as aWharton Risk
Center Issues Brief
Administrative and Regulatory Law News

tify containers that are at risk of being
tampered with by terrorists.A key input
to this system is the container's shipping
manifest, which contains information
about the container's sender, recipient,
and contents. CBP mandates that an
ocean carrier transporting a container to
the U.S. provide manifest information
to CSI officials at least 24 hours prior
to the container's lading onto a vessel
that will call on a U.S. port. Manifests
and other data are analyzed at CBP's
National Targeting Center in Arlington,
Virginia, and containers that are identi-
fied as suspect are flagged to be inspected
by the local customs authority at the port
of origin before they are shipped to U.S.
ports.These customs officials typically
use gamma or high-energy x-ray radi-
ography and either hand-held mobile or
stationary radiation detection technology
to screen the high-risk containers and
ensure that they do not contain a nuclear
weapon or radiation dispersal device.
SFI is ajoint initiative of CBP, the
U.S. Department of Energy, and the U.S.
Department of State. Its purpose is to
leverage learning from other port secu-
rity initiatives, such as Operation Safe
Commerce, and to serve as a pilot for a
system that might be capable of scanning
100 percent of U.S.-bound containers.
Under SFI, all U.S.-bound containers
arriving at participating overseas seaports
are scanned with both non-intrusive
radiographic imaging and passive
radiation detection equipment placed at
terminal entrance gates. Optical character
recognition is used to identify containers
and classify them by destination. Sensor
and image data gathered through this
primary inspection is then transmitted in
near real time to the National Targeting
Center inVirginia.There, CBP officials
incorporate these data into their overall
scoring of the risk posed by contain-
ers and target high-risk containers for
further scrutiny overseas.Any container
that triggers an alarm during primary

10

inspection is automatically deemed to be
high-risk and undergoes a more sensitive
inspection.
One-Hundred Percent Scanning
Requirement
A 2007 U.S. law,Implement-
ing Reconmmendations of the 9/11
Commission Act of 2007, popularly
called the 9/11 Commission Act,
requires that before any cargo bound for
the United States is loaded onto a ship at
an international port, it must be scanned
to detect radiological contraband.The
deadline for compliance with this law
is July 1, 2012, unless the Secretary of
Homeland Security grants an extension,
which can be offered in two-year incre-
ments.This law is a significant deviation
from CBP's CSI approach of scanning
only cargo it identifies as being high-risk,
and the operational feasibility of 100
percent scanning has been questioned by
a wide range of participants in the mari-
time supply chain: CBP and European
customs officials, trade associations such
as the U.S. Chamber of Commerce and
the National Association of Manufac-
turers, and corporate leaders.The most
commonly expressed concern is that
this security requirement will generate
congestion that will increase the cost of
doing business and hurt commerce. In
the face of this resistance to the legis-
lative protocol, DHS Secretary Janet
Napolitano has already indicated that she
intends to grant a two-year extension.
Benefits and Costs of 100
Percent Scanning
An obvious goal of 100 percent
container scanning is to detect and
neutralize any nuclear weapons and to
curb the illegal movement of radiological
material.A stringent security regime also
serves to deter terrorists from attempting
to infiltrate the maritime supply chain
in the first place.A less obvious benefit is

Volume 37, Number 1

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