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28 Tax Features 1 (1984)

handle is hein.tera/taxfeaturs0028 and id is 1 raw text is: TATO FTU
Taxing/Spending Revoluton
Described by CEA Chairman f~teWin

3 Uffrtin Feldstein, Chairman of the Council of
ip          Economic Advisers, strongly endorsed the
Reagan economic program in remarks he
. delivered in accepting Tax Foundation's
Distinguished Public Service Award for 1983 in New
York on November 30. I fully support the President
and his economic program, Feldstein said. I think it is
fair, balanced, and a comprehensive program. I believe
strongly in what he is trying to do, and I plan to stay
in Washington to help him do it.
The support of the President's tax and spending
reduction effort was added to the text of the speech ad-
dressing what the President's chief economist called A
Quiet Revolution in the structure of government
spending and the character of our tax system.
Feldstein began his prepared remarks with a review
of why and how public spending has increased so much
in the last three decades in the United States: 'There
can be no doubt that the shapers of the new American
nation accepted Adam Smith's view that a small
government is most conducive to economic prosperity,
he said, adding that this low-spending viewpoint
prevailed for more than a century and a half.
As recently as 1929, he said, Federal government
spending took only 3 percent of our nation's gross na-
tional product (GNP). With the Great Depression and
World War II spending exploded, Feldstein said. By
1960, nondefense spending, excluding interest, took just
over 8 percent of GNP. By 1980, it was claiming more
than 15 percent. 'The experience with the depression
and the war predisposed the American public to accept
new ideas about the proper role of government, Felds-
tein explained.
The CEA Chairman charged that the nearly four-
fold rise in real domestic spending between 1960 and
1980 did not reflect what the public wanted. He claim-
ed that the new programs did not take into account the
future burdens they would place on the economy, fre-
quently underestimated future costs, failed to anticipate
that introducing new programs or liberalizing old ones
would change economic behavior, and overestimated
the future growth of the U.S. economy.
I believe, Feldstein said, that if the public had
properly foreseen the future costs of the expanded
social programs or the modest rate of economic growth
during the past two decades, the Congress would not
have enacted all of those programs. He also observed,
Once those programs were started, it became ex-
tremely difficult to stop them or even to reduce the
level of benefits.
The end of the decade of the 70s saw a changing
mood about public spending, according to Feldstein, a

mood that found expression in state and local taxpayer
revolts, the election of President Reagan, and a will-
ingness in Congress to reduce spending and taxes in
preference to creating new social programs. This quiet
revolution has produced lasting results, Feldstein said:
* Social Security's share of GNP will shrink to 4.6
percent over the next four years.
9 Government spending on all domestic activities ex-
cept Social Security and Medicare is down to 7.7 per-
cent of GNP and will hit 6.9 percent by 1986 fiscal
year, the same share as such domestic spending took in
the late 1960s.
(Continued on page 4)
Tax FOundation Names
Thomas 1984 Chairman
W Bce Thomas, Vice Chairman-
Administration & Chief Financial Officer of
United States Steel Corporation, was
* elected to his second term as Chairman of
the Tax Foundation, Incorporated, by the Foundation's
Board of Trustees at their November 30 meeting in
New York. Thomas M. Macioce, President & Chief
Executive Officer of Allied Stores, was also reelected
for another one-year term as Chairman of the Board's
Executive Committee.
Newly elected as a Vice Chairman of the
Foundation's Board is Hans W. Wanders, Chairman of
the Board of Wachovia Bank & Trust Company, N.A.
and The Wachovia Corporation. He joins Vice
Chairmen John A. Love, Chairman of the Board of
Ideal Basic Industries, Inc., and Fred L. Hartley, Chair-
man and President of Union Oil Company of Califor-
nia, both of whom were reelected for one-year terms.
Fred J. Leary, Jr., Executive Vice President (Retired) of
Bankers Trust, was reelected Treasurer of the Founda-
tion.
Robert C. Brown was elected President of the Tax
Foundation, filling an office that had remained vacant
for several years. He was also named to retain the
positions of Executive Vice President and Secretary of
the Foundation.

THIS
ISSUE:
PAGE 1:
Reagan Tax
Program
Reviewed
TF Elects
Officers
PAGE 2:
Tax Changes
PAGE 3:
'83 Scorecard
Front Burner
INSERT:
Consensus
Forecasting

TAX FOUNDATION, INCORPORATED
One Thomas Circle, N.W., Suite 500, Washington, D.C. 20005
New Telephone: (202) 822-9050

TAX FOUNDATION'S MONTHLY

VOL. 28, NO. 1    JANUARY 1984

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