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154 IRET Congressional Advisory 1 (2003)

handle is hein.taxfoundation/iretcgadv0151 and id is 1 raw text is: INSTITUTE FOR RESEARCH ON THE ECONOMICS OF TAXATION
IRET is a non-profit 501 (c)(3) economic policy research and educational organization devoted to informing
the public about policies that will promote growth and efficient operation of the market economy.

June 6, 2003

Advisory No. 154

THE FINAL TAX COMPROMISE: A GOOD OUTCOME,
DESPITE THE LIMITED BUDGET AND POLITICAL CONSTRAINTS

The Jobs and Growth Tax Relief Reconciliation
Act of 2003 was hammered together after an
unusually chaotic legislative struggle. Was the
resulting tax and fiscal policy outcome a hit or a
miss?  Should we expect the new tax law to
improve the economy, do nothing, or hurt the

recovery?  Does it improve the
muddle it further?
The 2003 tax cut contains
several significant provisions
that reduce tax impediments to
hiring and capital formation.
These steps will help the
economic recovery. They are
temporary, however, and will
have to be extended if they are
to  achieve their maximum
economic   impact.      The
particular structure of these
growth-related and jobs-related
tax changes, after vacillating  .
among    several  competing
options of differing quality, turned

tax system or

out to be a fairly

good choice that establishes a sound basis for
moving on to fundamental tax reform.
Other provisions of the Act, those relating
mainly to relief for families and those described as
stimulating demand, may serve a social purpose,
but they will not boost the economy. The social
provisions may have been intended in part to grease
the skids for the growth elements, but the social
elements took up so much of the revenues available
for the tax cut that they reduced the growth

incentive portion of the package. As a result, the
Act will not be as beneficial for the working poor as
it might have been if the productivity, wage, and
employment-enhancing features of the bill had been
made larger and more permanent.
While it was disappointing that the full

double taxation of dividends and
retained  earnings that the
President requested was not
achieved, the reduced rates of
tax on that income provided in
the final bill provide a good
jumping off point for further
steps toward fundamental tax
reform. In fact, the approach
taken in the 2003 Act allows
an easy transition to either a
saving deferred income tax (a
consumed income tax) in
which   individuals  deduct
saving and pay tax on the
returns, with no added business

tax, or a returns exempt tax, such as the personal
side of the Flat Tax, in which individuals get no
deduction for saving and pay no tax on the returns,
which (after expensing capital outlays) are taxed at
the business level. Both options remain open until
a consensus is reached as to which is preferred.
How tax cuts do and don't work.
Tax cuts can work to increase the GDP by
raising incentives at the margin to work, save, and
invest more than before. That is, they can

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elimination of the

While it wvas disappointing that the
full elimination of the double
taxation of dividends and retained
earnings  that  the  President
requested wvas not achieved, the
reduced rates of tax on that
income provlided in the final bill
proide a good jumping off point
.for  further   steps  towivard
.fundamental tax reform.

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