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1 Erica York, Economic and Distributional Impact of the Trump Administration's Tariff Actions 1 (2018)

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                            The Economic and Distributional
                            Impact of the Trump



                            Administration's Tariff Actions

FISCAL
FACT                        Erica York
No. 625                     Analyst
Dec. 2018

                            Key Findings

                                 The Trump administration has imposed $42 billion worth of new taxes on
                                  Americans by levying tariffs on thousands of products.

                                 Outstanding threats to impose further tariffs mean Americans could see
                                  additional tax increases up to $129 billion.

                                 Tariffs are regressive, placing a higher burden on lower-income households.

                                 The $42 billion of tariffs imposed so far are estimated to reduce after-tax
                                  incomes by 0.30 percent on average. This negative effect is more pronounced
                                  for households in the middle and lowest quintiles, reducing their after-tax
                                  incomes by 0.33 percent.

                                 For taxpayers in the middle quintile, this represents a decrease of $146 in
                                  after-tax income.

                                 If threatened tariffs are all imposed, after-tax income for households in the
                                  bottom and middle quintiles would fall by an additional 1.04 percent, higher
                                  than the average decrease of 0.92 percent.



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