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28 Washington Q. 1 (2004-2005)

handle is hein.journals/wingtqurl28 and id is 1 raw text is: WINTER 2004-05 V O L U M E 2 8 N U M B E R THE SHINGTON UARTERLY 5 EnITOR's NOTE 7 PROVOCATIONS 9 How to Construct Stable Democracies Jack A. Goldstone and Jay Ulfelder Why are some states politically stable and others not? An extensive study by a dozen experts analyzing political instability during the last 50 years suggests two critical ingredients to succeed (and how to fail) in building stable democracies around the world. 21 Who's Behind That Curtain? Unveiling Potential Leverage over Pyongyang Michael Horowitz To influence Pyongyang's strategic choices, U.S. options may be much broader than military threats or appeals to China. Here are the cultural-political, military, and five key economic sources of potential leverage over Pyongyang today and the states that wield them. 45 A Nuclear Weapons-Free Zone in the Middle East: A Pie in the Sky? Claudia Baumgart and Harald Muller The Middle East is undergoing fundamental transformations that could change the prospects for a nuclear weapons-free region. What is important today is to get a head start on technical elements to prepare the foundation for, and even contribute to, the right political environment.

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