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4 J. Transp. Sec. 1 (2011)

handle is hein.journals/jtransps4 and id is 1 raw text is: J Transp Secur (2011) 4:1-18
DOI 10.1007/s12198-010-0055-y
A simulation modeling framework for community-wide
evacuation planning
Jun Duanmu - Mashrur Chowdhury - Kevin Taaffe
Received: 30 August 2010 /Accepted: 13 September 2010 /Published online: 13 October 2010
O Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2010
Abstract Simulation is a useful and cost effective tool for evacuation planning.
However, extensive data collection and preparation is necessary to build a traffic
evacuation simulation model that can closely replicate real life conditions. In a
community-wide evacuation process during an emergency, which covers hundreds
of miles, input data related to simulation of traffic evacuations include (1) Traffic
and roadway geometry, (2) Geographic distribution of the affected area, (3) Travel
demand modeling, and (4) Behavioral analysis of potential evacuees. This paper
presents a framework for preparing simulation inputs and ultimately developing a
simulation model. Brief excerpts from a case study on the evacuation of Charleston,
South Carolina are also included. An accurate input analysis is very important to the
success of a simulation project since without correct input data, the output of a
simulation cannot contribute to more effective decision making. This paper presents
a simple and efficient methodology for data preparation regarding a large scale city
evacuation simulation involving long distance trips.
Keywords Long distance evacuation - Arrival rate - Data input - Simulation-
Evacuation - At-risk population
J. Duanmu
Virginia Modeling, Analysis and Simulation Center, Old Dominion University, 1030 University
BLVD, Suffolk, VA 23435, USA
e-mail: jduanmu@odu.edu
M. Chowdhury (E)
Department of Civil Engineering, Clemson University, 216 Lowry Hall, Clemson, SC 29634, USA
e-mail: mac@clemson.edu
K. Taaffe
Department of Industrial Engineering, Clemson University, 130-A Freeman Hall, Clemson, SC
29634, USA
e-mail: taaffe(caclemson.edu

4L Springer

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