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2 J. Mgmt. & Sustainability 3 (2012)

handle is hein.journals/jms2 and id is 1 raw text is: 






                   Recovery of the Eastern Baltic Cod Fishery:

           Perspectives Revealed through Bioeconomic Modelling



                                           Barbara Hutniczak
                          Department of Environmental and Business Economics
                                    University of Southern Denmark
                            Niels Bohrs Vej 9-10, DK-6700 Esbjerg, Denmark
                              Tel: 45-6550-4188   E-mail: bhuttsam.sdu.dk


Received: February 3, 2012    Accepted: February 14, 2012   Published: March 1, 2012
doi: 10.5539/jms.v2nlp3    URL: http://dx.doi.org/10.5539/jms.v2nlp3


Abstract
The paper describes the situation of Polish cod fishery in the Baltic Sea and its perspectives in the future. The
paper sets up a general model and exemplifies it by simple functional forms taking its offset in the problem of
overcapacity in Polish fleet causing lack of profitability of the sector. The viable control approach is used in
order to determine dynamic compatibility with defined constraints when making an intertemporal decision
regarding the regulations affecting the stock of interest and the economy of the sector. The paper illustrates how
the dynamic optimisation methodology can be used to determine the Optimal Economic Intertemporal Path and
reveals potential benefits of following it.
Keywords:    Atlantic  cod, Bioeconomic     modelling, Viable   control approach, Fleet overcapacity,
Decommissioning
1. Introduction
The world we are living in is becoming small. Globalization has an enormous effect on the whole population, as
well as on each of us as individuals. In the global economy we eat in the middle of winter ripe banana from
Ecuador, drive car using oil from the Middle East or find McDonald round every corner. Every decision and
action is affecting the global market through its cumulative influence. Further, with constantly growing world
population, the demand for goods and products is increasing. And in order to meet this demand, the more and
more resources are required.
Some of those are renewable resources. Each year the agriculture is producing new crop, forests can be replanted
and grow more wood, fish will reproduce to increase the stock base for fishery sector. Those can be maintained
in infinite time, but only under a proper management scheme. Fish stock, if fished every year more than its
growth rate, will be decreasing. It may even decrease to the point, when its recovery is not possible any more.
Thus, the serious question arises: what can be done considering effective resource management to prevent
catastrophic consequences of overusing renewable resources? How is it possible to avoid the 'tragedy of
commons'?
The paper focuses on the condition of the Baltic Sea Eastern cod stock. Cod, as the most valuable fish in the
Baltic Sea, is the base fishing stock for a large number of fishermen in the region. However, apart from its
economic aspect, it is also an important link in the Baltic Sea food web. As a top predator, cod is performing an
important structuring role in the ecosystem ensuring its stability. Therefore, the proper management regime
securing the right abundance of the stock is of particular interest. For that reason, the new insight into the case is
performed through applying the bioeconomic modelling methodology. The aim is to obtain the model explaining
the possibility to reach optimal economic path maximising the revenues from the fishery while not putting the
specie into risk of extinction considering its biological parameters.
The paper is structured as follows. The introduction is followed by section which gives the insight into the case
studied, providing the explanation of further used model parameters which have a significant impact on
designing a sufficient management plan. Section three contains the model developed with objective to estimate
economically optimal biomass level and fleet size using viable control approach and dynamic optimization


Published by Canadian Center of Science and Education


www.ccsenet.org/ims


Journal of Management and Sustainability


Vol. 2, No. 1; March 2012

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