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80 Genus 1 (2024)

handle is hein.journals/genus80 and id is 1 raw text is: Genus Buonomo etal. Genus (2024) 80:1 https-//doi.org/10.1186/s41118-023-00209-6 ORIGINAL ARTICLE Open Access In-between centers and suburbs? Increasing differentials in recent demographic dynamics of Italian metropolitan cities Alessio Buonomol* Federico Benassil, Gerardo Ga||o2, Luca Salvati3 and Salvatore Strozzal *Correspondence: alesso.buonomo@unina.it University of Naples Federico Naples, Italy Z Italian National Institute of Statistics (Istat), Rome, Italy 3 University of RomeLa Sapienza, Rome, Italy SpringerOpen Abstract Verifying the intrinsic stability of demographic processes over time and space is a piv- otal task from both science and policy perspectives. Compared with other regions of the old continent, a latent peculiarity of demographic systems in Southern Europe is their persistent heterogeneity over space, especially observed across metropolitan regions.'Centers'and 'peripheries'are thus becoming representative of, respectively, territories undergoing demographic growth and decline. The former corresponds to urban areas, being attractive for different population segments.The present study illustrates the results of a statistical analysis of total population data over time (2011-2020) and its decomposition in natural increase and net migration rates in 14 metropolitan cities of Italy. Assuming that central and peripheral (e.g., suburbs) locations show differential trends of natural increase and net migration, our analysis verifies whether (i) central locations behave homogeneously in terms of population dynamics, and whether (ii) a North-South gradient holds. Results indicate how (met- ropolitan) demographic patterns no longer reflect a traditional gap between Northern and Southern regions, while outlining a subtler divide in growing and declining con- texts. The few still-growing metropolitan areas were all located in North-Central Italy, and reflect more polarized socioeconomic contexts than in the past. Internal migration was likely the most powerful factor that discriminates growing from declining cities. Such evidence indicates that strengthening the self restraining capacity of Southern Italian territories contributes to increase their attractiveness of international migration flows, counteracting demographic shrinkage. Keywords: Urbanization, Population growth, Natural increase, Net migration, Southern Europe Introduction Cities are the joint result of modernity and the product of a broader demographic transition determining the intrinsic shift from rural societies to urban ones (Cham- pion & Hugo, 2004). The motivations at the base of the increasing interest on urban demography have been made clear in seminal works, such as Zelinsky (1971) and Keyfitz (1980). It is well-known how urbanization processes began, at least in advanced economies, with the industrial revolution, being in turn associated with ©The Author(s) 2023. Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the articles Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the mate- rial. If material is not included in the articles Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder.To view a copy of this licence, visit httpy/ creativecomrnons.org/ icenses/by,4.0/.

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