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58 Crime & Delinquency 3 (2012)

handle is hein.journals/cadq58 and id is 1 raw text is: 


Article
                                                      Crime & Delinquency
                                                             58(1) 3-27
Differential Deterrence:                              @TheAuthor(s) 2012
                                                     Reprints and permission:
Studying Heterogeneity
                                               DOI: 10. 1177/0011128709345971
and    Changes in                                     http://cad sagepub cam

Perceptual Deterrence                                      OSAGE

Among SeriousYouthful

Offenders




Thomas A. LoughranAs
Alex   R. Piquero2,  Jeffrey  Fagan',
and   Edward R Mulveyp




Abstract
Perceptual deterrence has been an enduring focus of interest in criminology.
Although recent research has generated important new insights about how risks,
costs, and rewards of offending are perceived and internalized, there remain two
specific limitations to advancing theories of deterrence: (a) the lack of panel data
to show whether issues of changes in perceptions over age and time are linked
to changes in offending and (b) the lack of research on perceptual deterrence of
active offenders, arguably the most policy-relevant group for these studies. Using
longitudinal data on offending and perceptions of risks and punishment costs
for a large sample of serious youthful offenders, the authors identify significant
heterogeneity in sanction threat perceptions generally and across different types
of offenders.These differences in perception reflect variation among offenders
in the amount of prior information on offending on which individuals may be
basing their perceptions. There likely exists a potential ceiling and floor of


'University of South Florida, Tampa, FL, USA
2Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA
3Columbia University, NewYork, NY, USA
hniversity of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, PA, USA

Corresponding Author:
Thomas A. Loughran, University of South Florida, Department of Criminology,
4202 East Fowler Ave, SOC326,Tampa, FL 33620-7200.
Email: tloughr@bcs.usf.edu

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