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EMD-81-74 1 (1981-07-09)

handle is hein.gao/gaobacjkv0001 and id is 1 raw text is: I1 STUDY BY THE STAFF OF THE US. General Accounting Office Analysis Of Trends In Residential Energy Consumption Due to increased efficiency, energy consump- tion in the residential sector is projected to stop growing in the latter part of this century despite an approximately 40-percent increase in the number of households. Over the same period electricity's share of residential energy use should increase from less than 22 percent to about 35 percent. Nevertheless, the resi- dential sector may still provide some pressure for increased oil and/or gas imports in the 1980s because the decline in U.S. production of these fuels is projected to be faster than the decline of their use in homes. The analysis indicates that heating of homes already built will continue to be the largest consumer of residential energy through the balance of the century. In contrast, heating homes yet to be built should take only about one-eighth of residential energy by the year 2000, because these homes will be much more efficient. The study also indicates that the major uncer- tainty in the projection arises from the esti- mation of heating efficiency improvements in homes already built. Because of this uncer- tainty, the focal point of energy policy atten- tion in the residential sector should be the ex- tent and rate of improving energy efficiency in heating homes already built. -'&@ST. o g C) Il! lI/Il //1111/ II 1516 EMD-81-74 JULY 9, 1981 -; , //i5 7&,5 Itl, 74

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