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1 [1] (Updated April 4, 2025)

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             Congressional Research Service
             Inforrning the legislative debate since 1914



Venezuela: Political Crisis and U.S. Policy


Over the past several Congresses, Members have expressed
concerns about authoritarian governance under Venezuelan
President Nicolds Maduro (2013-present). Maduro took
office after garnering a narrow electoral victory following
the death of Hugo Chavez (in office 1999-2013), founder of
the United Socialist Party of Venezuela. Maduro has
remained in power following elections in 2018 and 2024
that were both considered fraudulent by international
observers, the United States, and most U.S.-aligned
democracies. After the July 28, 2024, election, Maduro
claimed victory even though precinct-level vote tabulations
comprising more than 80% of votes cast indicated that
opposition candidate Edmundo Gonzilez Urrutia won with
67%  of the vote.

On January 10, 2025, Maduro began a third term. Neither
the economic pressure of the first Trump Administration
nor limited sanctions relief and negotiation efforts by the
Biden Administration facilitated a return to democracy.
Maduro  retained the support of Venezuelan security forces,
illicit actors, and allies such as China, Cuba, Iran, and
Russia.

The 119th Congress may assess U.S. policies, including
support for the Venezuelan opposition and the efficacy of
sanctions, while considering U.S. energy and migration
control interests. Opposition leader Marfa Corina Machado
(who was barred from running in 2024) has urged President
Trump  to end licenses that have allowed companies to
operate in Venezuela's energy sector. The Department of
the Treasury revoked U.S. oil company Chevron's license
in early March 2025; Maduro then paused flights of
Venezuelans removed  from the United States. It is unclear
how  the Trump Administration's reported termination of
some humanitarian and democracy  assistance programs in
Venezuela may  affect the country's population and
democratic opposition.

Political Situation
Venezuela, which the nongovernmental organization
Freedom  House ranked as partly free under President
Chavez, has deteriorated to not free under Maduro.
Chavez, a charismatic politician, benefited from high oil
prices and won most elections by a large majority. In
contrast, Maduro has experienced narrow wins and some
electoral defeats (including in the 2015 legislative elections,
in which his party lost control for the first time since 1999).
The opposition, once weak and divided, has remained
united since 2022 as the Unitary Platform (PUD).

Maduro  has relied on security forces and corrupt influence
over the courts to quash dissent. He has allowed security
forces to enrich themselves through illicit gold mining, drug
trafficking, and extortion. The International Criminal Court
is investigating alleged crimes against humanity committed
by Venezuelan security forces since at least 2017.


Updated April 4, 2025


Security forces have detained and reportedly abused
Maduro's  opponents, including dissidents in the military,
opposition politicians, and protesters, particularly since the
2024 elections. As of March 10, 2025, the government held
1,014 political prisoners, according to Venezuelan human
rights group Foro Penal. After Venezuela's attorney
general issued an arrest warrant for Gonzilez, he fled into
exile in September 2024. Gonzilez visited several countries
in January 2025 and met with then-President Biden in
Washington, DC,  but could not return to Venezuela.
Machado,  who remains in Venezuela, led protests on
January 9 but then returned to hiding.

Economic and Humanitarian Crisis
By most accounts, Maduro's government  has mismanaged
the economy  and engaged in widespread corruption.
Between  2014 and 2021, Venezuela's economy contracted
by 80%, according to estimates by the International
Monetary  Fund (IMF), due to low global oil prices and the
country's declining oil production. According to a 2021
Government  Accountability Office report, sanctions
imposed by the United States from 2017 to 2019,
particularly those targeting Venezuela's oil industry,
contributed to the country's economic crisis. Hyperinflation
declined from 337% in 2023 to 59.6% in 2024, according to
the IMF, but income levels remain insufficient for most
households to purchase basic necessities. According to one
national survey by a Venezuelan university, roughly 82.8%
of the population of 26.5 million lived in income poverty in
2023, particularly outside the capital of Caracas.

In 2024, an estimated 7.6 million Venezuelans (28% of the
population) required humanitarian assistance, according to
the United Nations. Many households lack reliable access
to potable water, and interruptions in electrical service and
gas supplies persist. Health indicators, particularly infant
and maternal mortality rates, remain poor.

As of December  2024, UN agencies estimated there were
some  7.9 million Venezuelan refugees and migrants
globally. Some 6.7 million of these individuals reside in
other Latin American and Caribbean countries. Venezuelan
refugees and migrants reportedly face obstacles to keeping
jobs and accessing health care; they may be vulnerable to
human  trafficking and other abuses. These factors have
contributed to secondary migration to the United States.

U.S. Policy
The U.S. government ceased recognizing Maduro as
Venezuela's legitimate president in January 2019 and
recognizes the democratically elected, opposition-
controlled 2015 National Assembly as the only legitimate
branch of the Government of Venezuela, even though
most of its members are in exile. From January 2019
through its dissolution in December 2022, the 2015
National Assembly backed an interim government led by its


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