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Congressional Research Service
Informing the legislative debate since 1914


April 24, 2019


U.S. Trade: Recent Trends and Developments


Background
Over the past two years, Congress has demonstrated
significant interest in U.S. and international trade trends as
part of its efforts to examine U.S. trade policy and key U.S.
trading relationships. In particular, demand for comparative
analysis of bilateral trade flows and balances has
heightened as the Trump Administration takes actions with
the intention of reducing U.S. bilateral trade deficits,
enforcing U.S. trade laws and agreements, and promoting
what it considers to be free, fair, and reciprocal trade.
The role of Congress in trade policy stems from a number
of overlapping responsibilities, including its constitutional
authority over regulating commerce with foreign countries
and broad oversight responsibility over the performance of
the economy. The changing dynamics and composition of
U.S. trade are important to Members, because they can
affect the overall health of the U.S. economy, the success of
U.S. workers and firms, and the U.S. standard of living.

U.S.  Trade in Goods
U.S. merchandise exports totaled $1.67 trillion in 2018, a
7.7% ($118.9 billion) increase from the 2017 level (Table
1). The value of U.S. merchandise imports was $2.5 trillion
over the same period, up 8.6% ($202.7 billion) from 2017.
U.S. imports increased more than U.S. exports, leading to
an increase of $83.8 billion (10.4%) in the U.S.
merchandise trade deficit to $891.3 billion.
Trade  in Goods  with  Leading  Partners
In 2018, the European Union (EU)-as  a single entity-
was the United States' top trading partner in terms of two-
way (exports plus imports) merchandise trade, followed by
China, Canada, and Mexico. China's share in U.S.
merchandise trade has increased dramatically over the past
two decades, from 5.8% in 2000 to 15.6% in 2018. Ranked
by exports, the EU was the leading market for U.S. exports,
which totaled $320.5 billion (19.2% of all U.S. exports).
Canada was  the second-largest export market ($299.4
billion worth of U.S. exports, or 17.9%), followed by
Mexico  and China. In terms of imports, China was the
leading source of U.S. imports ($540.3 billion, or 21.1% of
all U.S. imports), followed by the EU ($490.8 billion, or
19.1%), Mexico, and Canada. The United States had
merchandise trade deficits with most of its major partners in
2018, including with China ($419.3 billion), the EU ($170.3
billion), Mexico ($87.3 billion), and Japan ($68.9 billion).
U.S. merchandise exports to most major trading partners
increased from 2017 to 2018. The largest was a $37.5
billion (12.5%) increase in U.S. exports to the EU. It was
followed by a $21.7 billion increase in exports to Mexico
(up 8.9%) and a $16.5 billion increase to Canada (up 5.8%).
In percentage terms, on a country basis, the largest
increases in U.S. exports in 2018 were to India (29.0%),
Italy (25.7%), and the UK (17.8%). U.S. exports to China
and Saudi Arabia decreased 7.2% and 16.7%, respectively.

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   Table I. U.S. Trade in 2018

                                   U.S.$      % Change
                                 (billions)  from  2017*

    Total Exports                    2,500.8          6.4
       Exports of Goods              1,672.3          7.7
       Exports of Services            828.4           3.9
    Total Imports                    3,122.9          7.6
       Imports of Goods              2,563.7          8.6
       Imports of Services            559.2           3.1
    Total Balance (Deficit)          -622.1          12.6
       Balance on Goods (Deficit)    -891.3          10.4
       Balance on Services (Surplus)  269.2           5.5
   Source: Bureau of Economic Analysis, April 17, 2019.
   Note: * not adjusted for inflation.
   U.S. merchandise imports from all top trading partners-
   except Hong Kong-increased  in 2018. The largest
   increases in imports were $53.4 billion (12.2%) from the
   EU, $34.0 billion (6.7%) from China, and a $32.9 billion
   (10.3%) from Mexico. In percentage terms, the largest
   increases were from Singapore (40.0%), Saudi Arabia
   (27.6%), and the UK (14.6%). U.S. imports from Hong
   Kong decreased 12.8%.

   U.S.  Trade in Services
   In 2018, U.S. exports of services increased 3.9% ($30.7
   billion), from $797.7 billion to $828.4 billion, while U.S.
   services imports grew 3.1% ($16.7 billion), from $542.5
   billion to $559.2 billion. The U.S. surplus in services trade
   increased 5.5% ($14.0 billion) to $269.2 billion.
   Trade  in Services with Leading  Partners
   The EU was the United States' top trading partner in terms
   of two-way (exports plus imports) trade in services in 2018,
   while the largest single-country services trading partners
   were the UK, Canada, Japan, and China. Since 2000, the
   share of U.S. services trade with partners like the UK,
   Canada, and Japan has decreased, while that of China and
   India, for example, has grown dramatically. The EU was
   the largest export market for U.S. services in 2018. It was
   also the largest foreign supplier of U.S. services imports,
   accounting for $255.9 billion (30.1%) of total U.S. services
   exports and for $196.01 billion (35.1%) of total U.S.
   services imports. After the EU, the top markets for U.S.
   services exports were the UK, Canada, China, and Japan,
   while the top sources of U.S. services imports were the UK,
   Canada, Germany, and Japan. In 2018, the United States
   maintained a services trade surplus with every major
   services trading partner except Italy ($3.6 billion deficit),
   India ($3.0 billion), and Taiwan ($1.6 billion).
rts.congress.gov

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