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                                                                                                     May  17, 2018

Temporary Assistance for Needy Families: The Decline in the

Cash Assistance Caseload


Introduction
The Temporary  Assistance for Needy Families (TANF)
block grant helps fund public assistance programs for needy
families with children, families often headed by a single
mother. It was created in the 1996 welfare reform law, P.L.
104-193, which ended the prior federal grant to states for
public assistance, Aid to Families with Dependent Children
(AFDC).  TANF  has an explicit statutory goal to end the
dependence of needy parents on government benefits and
the decline in the cash assistance caseload is the most
visible indicator of progress toward meeting that goal.

In 1995 an estimated 17.6 million people (adults and
children) received assistance during the year compared to
4.9 million in 2015. However, most of the TANF cash
assistance caseload decline comes from fewer eligible
people receiving assistance, rather than from there being
fewer eligible people.

This In Focus examines the TANF caseload decline in the
context of those eligible for its assistance as well as child
poverty. It summarizes and updates information in CRS
Report R44724, Temporary  Assistance for Needy Families
(TANF): Size of the Population Eligible for and Receiving
Cash Assistance.

Number of People Eligible for and
Receiv ng TAN FC ash Assistance
Figure 1 shows the number of people eligible for and
receiving AFDC  in 1995, and the proportion of eligible
individuals who received benefits in that year. In 1995, 21.6
million persons were eligible for AFDC cash assistance,
with 82% of those eligible (17.6 million) receiving benefits
during that year. The figure compares these numbers and
the rate of eligible people receiving TANF cash assistance
for selected years. The number of people receiving cash
assistance declined most rapidly in the late 1990s. By 2000,
the caseload had declined from an estimated 17.6 million
persons to 7.9 million. This decline stemmed from both
fewer people being eligible for benefits and a decline in the
share of eligible people receiving benefits. The rate at
which eligible people received benefits in 2000 had fallen
to a little less than half (47%).

The figure also shows the fluctuations in the caseload
during the 2000s. In the period from 2000 to 2007, the
caseload continued to fall, but this was almost wholly
attributable to a decline in the share of eligible people who
actually received benefits, which declined to 34% by 2007.
The period from 2007 to 2010 shows caseload trends during
the Great Recession of 2007-2009. During this period, the
estimated share of eligible people receiving benefits held
fairly steady (33% in 2010). However, at the same time, the


caseload increased by 1.4 million because the number of
people eligible for benefits rose from 16.8 million to 21.6
million. Following the recession, the number of people
eligible for assistance again declined along with an even
faster decline in the caseload. By 2015, 27% of the 18.0
million eligible for cash assistance received it. Over the
entire 1995 to 2015 period, most of the caseload decline
resulted not from fewer people being eligible for aid, but
from fewer of the eligible people actually receiving
benefits.

Figure  I. Number  of People Eligible for and Receiving
Cash  Assistance, Selected Years


81.6%


Portion of
eligible people
receiving benefits


46.7%
       34.2%  32. 9%
                   *  27.3%


Total numberof
eligible people


              -21.6
(in millions)   2.
Notreceiving -    L* ,
benefits

Receiving        17.6
benefits


                1995


16.9   16.8


2000   2007   2010    2015


Source: Congressional Research Service (CRS) analysis based on
estimates from the TRIM3 micro-simulation model.
Notes: Includes people in state-funded public assistance programs
who are eligible for TANF, but excludes families receiving relatively
small TANF-funded earnings supplements outside of regular TANF
programs.

The   Decline in the Cash Assistance
Caseload and Child Poverty
The majority of cash assistance recipients are children. Of
the 17.6 million persons receiving AFDC in 1995, 11.5
million were children. Of the 4.9 million people receiving
assistance in 2015, 3.5 million (more than 70% of
recipients) were children.

Cash assistance does not reach all poor children in part
because of the way eligibility is determined. Not all poor
children were eligible for AFDC; nor are all poor children
eligible for TANF. States determine income eligibility for
TANF   (as they did for AFDC before it). In 1995, most
states set their income eligibility threshold below the
poverty level; this has also been true under TANF.


21.6


18.0


https:/crsreports.congress.go)

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