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Cogesoa Reeac Servic


Updated January 17, 2019


Sudan


When  unified (1956-2011), Sudan was Africa's largest
country by area, and the site of its longest-running civil
war. In 2011, after decades of fighting broadly described as
a conflict between the predominately Muslim Arab north
and African south, Sudan split in two. The split did not
resolve other conflicts, in Darfur, Southern Kordofan, and
Blue Nile. Overlapping struggles between security forces
and armed groups, nomadic and farming communities, and
among  ethnic groups have caused extensive displacement
and suffering. Across Sudan, economic pressures, social
tensions, and dissent present challenges for the Islamist
government  of President Omar al Bashir, who came to
power in a 1989 coup. Nationwide anti-government protests
in early 2019 suggest growing pressure for regime change.
South Sudan's secession was a major financial blow to
Sudan, which lost 75% of its oil production, two-thirds of
export earnings, and over half its fiscal revenues. A large
security sector budget, mismanagement, and corruption all
compound  Sudan's economic  troubles, which spur periodic
protests and domestic criticism of the government. The
International Monetary Fund assesses that U.S. economic
sanctions, imposed in 1997, also undermined economic
stability and growth. Major U.S. enforcement actions for
sanctions violations in 2014-2015 significantly reduced
Sudan's access to U.S. dollars and further impeded its
access to international financial markets and institutions.
Sudan has long sought relief from U.S. sanctions, and the
outgoing Obama  Administration announced a move to ease
them in January 2017, after determining that Sudan had
taken positive steps over a six-month period in five key
areas: enhancing counterterrorism cooperation; addressing
the threat of a regional armed group, the Lord's Resistance
Army  (LRA); ceasing negative interference in South Sudan;
ceasing hostilities in conflict zones; and improving
humanitarian access. President Trump permanently revoked
the economic sanctions in October 2017. Some U.S.
restrictions remain, including on debt relief and based on a
state sponsor of terrorism designation-the latter is now the
focus of Phase II of a bilateral engagement framework.
Background
Despite Sudan's diversity, northern-led regimes espousing
Islamist ideals have dominated government since
independence, often pressing distant provinces to conform
to the center, Khartoum, rather than accommodating local
customs and institutions. Instead of forging a national
identity, these policies exacerbated Sudan's racial, cultural,
and religious differences. Attempts to Arabize and Islamize
the countryside were resisted by southerners and other
marginalized groups and sparked insurgencies in the south.
Groups in other regions rose up periodically, citing local
grievances. Some in the central states of Southern Kordofan
and Blue Nile joined the southern rebellion, the Sudan
People's Liberation Movement/Army  (SPLM/A).


Figure I. Sudan Key  Facts


Source: Fact information from CIA World Factbook and IMF, 2018.
The north-south wars took a heavy toll on both sides. In
2005, the government and the SPLM signed the
Comprehensive  Peace Agreement  (CPA), which enshrined
the south's right to self-determination after a six-year
interim period, during which the SPLM and the ruling
National Congress Party (NCP) formed a unity government.
Southern Sudanese voted overwhelmingly in January 2011
to secede and achieved independence in July of that year.
The CPA  failed to resolve several contentious issues, and
talks have continued on border disputes and related security
issues, debts, and once-shared resources, such as oil. The
proximity of Sudanese rebel activity to the border
complicated its demilitarization after separation, as did the
unresolved status of contested areas, notably Abyei, which
was granted special semi-autonomous status in the CPA.
An official referendum for Abyei residents on whether to
retain their special status in Sudan or join South Sudan was
slated for 2011 but has been indefinitely delayed. The
deployment of the U.N. Interim Force for Abyei (UNISFA)
defused a violent stand-off in 2011, but local tensions
persist and still have the potential to spur a larger conflict.
Relations between Sudan and South Sudan improved in
2018. A long-delayed joint border monitoring mission is
now  semi-operational, though there has been little progress
on border demarcation. Sudan surprised many by mediating
a new peace deal between warring parties in South Sudan
mid-year. If the deal holds it would allow a resumption of
oil production in fields shut by South Sudan's civil war,
generating needed revenue for both Khartoum and Juba.

Ongoing Conflicts
The CPA  did not resolve Sudan's longstanding center-
periphery tensions. Khartoum has responded to the political
demands  of restive regions more often with force than with
substantive reform and has financed local militias to help
counter insurgencies. The militias have been linked to
indiscriminate and disproportionate attacks on civilians.
Sudan has conducted aerial attacks in Darfur in violation of
U.N. Security Council resolution 1591 (2005).

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