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Updated  October 10, 2024


Israel and Lebanese Hezbollah: Conflict and Escalation


A day after Hamas  (a U.S.-designated foreign terrorist
organization, or FTO) led October 7, 2023, attacks against
Israel that began their ongoing war, Lebanese Hezbollah
(another FTO)  started shooting rockets and missiles across
Lebanon's  border into Israel in a show of solidarity with
Hamas.  In the ensuing weeks and months, Hezbollah and
Israel repeatedly exchanged fire across the border, and
some  60,000 Israeli and 95,000 Lebanese residents
evacuated the border area, with displacement in Israel at
least partly due to concerns about a possible October 7-style
attack from Hezbollah. Iran has long considered Hezbollah
its most capable partner in its axis of resistance versus
Israel. Debate persists about the degree to which Hezbollah
acts independently or as Iran's proxy. After weeks of
escalation, Israel landed some major blows against
Hezbollah's leadership and capabilities in September 2024,
and launched ground  operations in October while stepping
up its aerial campaign. Hezbollah continues to fire missiles
into Israel. Since October 2023, over 2,000 people in
Lebanon  and 40 in Israel have reportedly been killed.
Lebanon  now  faces a humanitarian crisis on top of existing
political and economic fragility. To date, the conflict may
have displaced more than one million people there, with
over 300,000 apparently fleeing to neighboring countries.
Escalat on  of Conflict
In July and August 2024, attacks by both sides escalated. A
rocket attributed to Hezbollah killed 12 young people in the
Golan Heights, Israel killed Hezbollah commander Fuad
Shukr in response, and the two sides engaged in a major
exchange  of fire. In September, a series of operations
claimed by or attributed to Israel took a heavy toll on
Hezbollah leadership and highlighted Israeli intelligence
and military capabilities. On September 16, Israel's cabinet
added a goal of returning evacuated Israelis to its official
war objectives. Operations after that included:
*  The  explosion of hundreds of electronic devices
   apparently used by Hezbollah members   on September
   17-18; those explosions killed dozens and wounded
   thousands (including some civilians).
*  Subsequent  Israeli airstrikes on hundreds of Hezbollah
   leadership and military targets across Lebanon, which
   reportedly killed over 500 Lebanese, including civilians.
   Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu  stated
   Israel's intent to change the security balance by
   eliminating senior figures, terrorists and missiles.
Then, on September  27, Israeli airstrikes in Beirut targeted
Hezbollah's headquarters, killing its Secretary-General
Hassan Nasrallah and other senior leaders. Nasrallah had
led Hezbollah for 32 years, and had become one of the most
prominent leaders in the Middle East. His death raises
questions about Hezbollah succession and capabilities and
possible responses by Iran, Hezbollah, or other armed
groups. Israel may have killed a potential successor to
Nasrallah, Hashem  Safieddine, in an October 3 strike.


In early October, Israel's military said it began limited,
localized, and targeted ground raids into southern Lebanon
against Hezbollah, with air and artillery support. An
unnamed  Israeli official reportedly said that Israel did not
intend to occupy southern Lebanon, but create a security
perimeter for Lebanese or UN forces and facilitate the
return home of Israeli evacuees. While supporting the
dismantling of Hezbollah attack infrastructure, U.S.
officials have reportedly urged Israel to avoid a major
ground invasion, and warned that-as  with previous Israeli
operations in Lebanon in 1982 and 2006-conflict  could
become  deadlier and more protracted than Israel anticipates.
To date, Israel has reportedly bombarded Hezbollah-linked
targets and some others throughout Lebanon and in Syria,
and has called for the evacuation of numerous communities
in southern Lebanon (including some north of the Litani
River). Hezbollah has fired missiles into northern Israel,
including the cities of Haifa and Tiberias.


Israe
1982-
1985


ezbolah:  Selected   Historica  Events
Israel's 1982 invasion of Lebanon elicits some
resistance amid Lebanon's ongoing civil war. Elements
from  Lebanon's Shia community-including some
responsible for fatal attacks on U.S. and French
installations-establish Hezbollah with help from Iran.


1985      Israeli military withdraws from central Lebanon, but
          maintains a zone of control in predominantly Shia-
          populated southern Lebanon with a Lebanese partner
          force. Hezbollah leads resistance to this zone.
1992-     Hezbollah bombings of Israel's embassy (1992) and a
1994     jewish community center (1994) in Argentina kill 29
          and 85 people, respectively.
1996      Hezbollah attacks on Israel and Israeli forces trigger
          the 17-day Israeli Operation Grapes of Wrath,
          which kills more than 200 Lebanese.
2000      Israel withdraws from southern Lebanon, leading
          Hezbollah to claim victory. Hezbollah maintains that
          Israel still occupies Lebanese territory in disputed
          parts of the tri-border (Israel-Lebanon-Syria) area.
2006      Israel and Hezbollah engage in a 34-day war after a
          fatal Hezbollah attack and hostage-taking on an Israeli
          military position. In the war, some 160 Israelis and
          1,200 Lebanese are killed. After the war, UN Security
          Council Resolution (UNSCR) 1701 calls for all non-
          Lebanese army forces to withdraw north of the Litani
          River; Hezbollah does not comply and starts to rearm.
2011-     Hezbollah helps Iran defend regime of Bashar al Asad
Present   in the Syrian civil war. Territorial links from Iran to
          Lebanon through Iraq and Syria facilitate greater
          Iranian weapons supply (including precision-guided
          missiles) to Hezbollah, provoking regular Israeli
          military strikes in Syria starting around 2012 to
          prevent or delay these transfers.

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