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March  11, 2024


Benin


Benin is an emergent U.S. security partner in West Africa, a
region that has seen a wave of military coups, the spillover
of Islamist insurgent violence from the Sahel, and growing
Russian influence. Democratic backsliding under President
Patrice Talon has complicated U.S. engagement, however.
Benin is a focus country under the U.S. Global Fragility Act
(see below). Benin has also offered 2,000 troops to a U.S.-
backed, Kenyan-led stabilization force planned for Haiti.
Possible issues for Congress include oversight of U.S. aid
and security cooperation amid challenging regional trends.
Politics and Governance
Benin transitioned to multiparty politics in 1990 after
decades of military and one-party rule, leading to a series of
peaceful, competitive elections. President Talon, first
elected in 2016, has instituted a semi-authoritarian
regime, however, sidelining the opposition and restricting
freedoms of assembly and the press. New candidacy laws
led to the disqualification of all opposition candidates in the
2019 National Assembly  elections. State security forces
dispersed protests and arrested opposition politicians ahead
of the vote. In 2021, Talon won reelection against two little-
known  challengers, after the electoral commission
disqualified more prominent candidates. Over 100 people
were arrested during the 2021 elections period, and a
special Court for the Repression of Economic and
Terrorism Infractions later sentenced two opposition leaders
to jail based on virtually no evidence, according to the
State Department. Authorities have also arrested journalists
and activists. The U.S.-based organization Freedom House
downgraded  Benin from Free to Partly Free in 2020.
The government  has tentatively reopened some space for
the opposition since 2022. Dozens of opposition supporters
were released from jail that year, and opposition parties
won  28 out of 109 seats in 2023 National Assembly
elections. The next presidential election is slated for 2026,
when  President Talon will face term limits. Talon has
pledged not to seek reelection. His predecessor Thomas
Boni Yayi floated constitutional changes that could have
paved the way to a third term, but ultimately stepped down.
A member   of parliament in Talon's coalition proposed
amendments  in early 2024 to alter the election timeline, but
these did not garner sufficient support to advance.
Security
Benin reported its first Islamist militant attack in 2019,
when  two French tourists and their local guide were
kidnapped from a national park. (The French military
rescued the tourists in neighboring Burkina Faso, also
freeing an American and a South Korean hostage.) The
Islamist armed group presence in Benin was previously
temporary, transitory and often limited in nature, per one
analysis. Since then, security conditions near Benin's
northern borders have deteriorated; some 150 violent
incidents were reported in 2023.


Figure  I. Benin at a Glance


Sources: CIA World I-actbook, iM-; 2U23 estimates unless noted.
Two  U.S.-designated Foreign Terrorist Organizations are
reportedly active in northern Benin: a regional Al Qaeda
affiliate known as the Group for the Support of Islam and
Muslims  (aka JNIM) and the Islamic State (IS) Sahel
affiliate. These Sahel-based groups have reportedly
established a presence in cross-border national parks, where
they allegedly tax local commerce and engage in
smuggling, gold trafficking, and other illicit economic
activity. U.N. global terrorism monitors have also relayed
reports that the IS's Nigeria-based affiliate (IS-West Africa)
profits from ivory poaching in Benin. Some analysts assert
that violence in northern Benin is shifting from a foreign-
based insurgency to a nascent civil conflict, with JNIM
cells increasingly locally embedded.
Ethnic and sectarian divisions may elevate risks of conflict
in the north, where Benin's Muslim minority population is
concentrated. Some analysts warn that extremists might
leverage grievances among the Peul (Fulani/Fulbe), a
historically pastoralist, mainly Muslim ethnic group present
across West and Central Africa. Tensions over conservation
areas-where  restricted access has disrupted local
livelihoods-appear  to provide additional opportunities for
extremists, who have reportedly opened areas under their
control to farming, grazing, and small-scale mining.
Benin's government  has expanded military deployments in
the north, engaged in rapid military recruitment, and sought
to procure military equipment from a range of countries
including France, Turkey, China, and Russia. Benin also
has pursued bilateral cooperation with Rwanda, which has
offered to send troops to support counterterrorism. Benin
participates in an African Union-authorized regional
military force to combat Nigeria-based Boko Haram and IS-
West Africa. About 250 Beninese troops served in the U.N.
peacekeeping operation in Mali prior to its closure in late
2023; smaller numbers of Beninese personnel continue to
serve in other U.N. missions.


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