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Updated January 24, 2024


Ecuador: Country Overview and U.S. Relations


Ecuador is an ethnically and geographically diverse country
of 18.3 million people encompassing portions of South
America's Pacific coast, Amazon Basin, and Andean
highlands. Ecuador's strategic port city of Guayaquil has
become  a major hub for trafficking cocaine from
neighboring Colombia and Peru, the world's largest cocaine
producers (see map, Figure 1). Ecuador faces an acute
security crisis, as gangs have increasingly fought for control
of drug trafficking routes and prisons and have assassinated
politicians. Some Members of Congress have expressed
concern about the deteriorating security climate in Ecuador,
a key U.S. regional partner. Congress enacted a framework
to deepen economic and other bilateral ties with Ecuador in
2022 and may  consider legislation to provide additional
trade preferences for Ecuador.

Current Pohticai Conditions
President Daniel Noboa took office on November 23, 2023,
to complete the term of his predecessor, Guillermo Lasso
(2021-2023), who had called Ecuador's first-ever snap
general elections. Lasso had pushed for market-friendly
political and economic reforms but faced opposition from
the country's powerful Indigenous movements and a
divided legislature dominated by leftist parties that had
repeatedly tried to impeach him. The 2023 elections were
marred by the assassination of one of the presidential
candidates and other political figures, allegedly by
organized crime groups.

In mid-October 2023, Noboa won  a second-round runoff
with 52% of the vote, defeating Luisa Gonzales, an ally of
former leftist populist president Rafael Correa (2007-2017).
Noboa  is the head of a center-right, pro-business party,
National Democratic Action (ADN  by its Spanish
acronym). He is a 36-year-old former corporate executive
and scion to a banana fortune. Voters also reelected about
30%  of National Assembly members  and approved by large
margins national and regional referenda to halt oil and
mineral extraction in two ecologically sensitive regions.
President Noboa and the newly elected legislators are to
serve until May 2025.

The new  137-member  unicameral National Assembly was
seated on November  17. The Correa-linked Citizens
Revolution party (RC by its Spanish acronym) won the
most seats (51), followed by the anti-corruption Build
Ecuador Movement   (26), the conservative Social Christian
Party and allies (18), and the ADN (14). Indigenous party
representation, which had been significant, declined. (Party
affiliation is fluid, so seat allocation may change over time.)

Unlike President Lasso, whose minority government was
challenged by highly disruptive protests and impeachment
attempts, President Noboa quickly forged a large legislative
majority. His loose coalition includes the left-wing RC,


Noboa's center-right ADN, and the right-wing Social
Christian party. This legislative alliance may enable Noboa
to enact policies intended to restore public security and
continue Ecuador's post-pandemic recovery.

Figure  I . Ecuador at a Glance


Sources: World I-actbook (CIA), International Monetary Fund (Imi-);
Ecuador's National Institute of Statistics and Censuses (NISC); Trade
Data Monitor (TDM).

Security  Crisis
Ecuador has seen a sharp rise in violence over the past four
years, attributable primarily to power struggles among
gangs affiliated with transnational criminal organizations,
including Mexican cartels and the Albanian mafia, battling
for control of drug trafficking routes and infrastructure,
such as ports. The homicide rate nearly doubled from 2021
to 2022, reaching almost 26 per 100,000 persons, a rate on
par with Colombia and Mexico. Some  observers estimate
that the rate exceeded 44 per 100,000 in 2023, which would
be among  the highest rates in Latin America. In response,
President Lasso declared multiple states of emergency but
failed to quell the violence. High-fatality prison riots due to
gang rivalries plagued Lasso's years in office. Criminal
organizations are alleged to have widely corrupted public
officials, judges, police, military, and corrections personnel.

In early 2024, President Noboa began to unveil his anti-
crime strategy, known as Plan Phoenix. On January 7, the
leader of Ecuador's largest gang, Los Choneros, escaped
before the government could move him to a more secure
prison. The next day, President Noboa declared a 60-day
state of emergency and national curfew. Rivals to Los
Choneros  coordinated lethal uprisings in seven prisons in
which some  200 prison guards were taken hostage. Armed
men  occupied a major television network during a live
broadcast. This was followed by a wave of car bombs,
police kidnappings, and other violence across the country,
which appeared to be a politically motivated effort by

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