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        Congressional Research Service
airmasinforming   the Iegislative debate since 1914


Updated January 3, 2024


Bulgaria: An Overview


After decades of single-party communist rule and a difficult
transition period in the 1990s, Bulgaria joined NATO in
2004 and the European Union (EU) in 2007. Bulgaria's
Black Sea location and NATO and EU  memberships make
it an important U.S. partner, particularly in the wake of
Russia's full-scale invasion of Ukraine starting in 2022.
Members  of Congress may monitor several issues in
Bulgaria with implications for the U.S.-Bulgaria strategic
partnership, including energy security, military
modernization, building resilience to external authoritarian
influence, and combating corruption and organized crime.

Domestic Overview
Bulgaria is a parliamentary republic. Prime Minister
Nikolai Denkov leads a pro-Western government
comprising Denkov's We  Continue the Change (PP),
Democratic Bulgaria (DB), and the Citizens for European
Development  of Bulgaria-Union of Democratic Forces
(GERB-SDS)   coalition. In spring 2024, the post of prime
minister is to rotate to GERB-SDS. President Rumen Radev
was reelected to a second term in 2021 with support from
the Bulgarian Socialist Party (BSP), which some observers
consider to have a more pro-Russian orientation.

Bulgaria has experienced persistent political instability in
recent years. A wave of anti-corruption protests in 2020 and
2021 weakened  then-Prime Minister Boyko Borisov and his
political party, GERB, which had ruled the country for most
of the preceding 12 years. Bulgaria has held five
parliamentary elections since April 2021. GERB and BPS,
the two largest parties in the 2010s, lost some support to
parties that ran on pro-reform platforms, such as DB and
PP, as well as to the populist There Is Such a People (ITN)
and the ultranationalist, pro-Russian Revival. The
Movement  for Rights and Freedom (DPS), which is mostly
backed by ethnic Turkish voters, has had stable support.

Since 2021, a mix of caretaker and largely pro-Western
governments has presided over Bulgaria; polarization and
close election results complicated government formation
following each parliamentary election. PP and DB
expressed hesitance to govern with GERB and other former
ruling parties, citing corruption concerns, but ultimately
struggled to build coalitions without them. Kiril Petkov, a
cofounder of PP, led a coalition government comprising PP,
BSP, ITN, and DB  from December 2021 to August 2022.
This government oversaw Bulgaria's early response to
Russia's war on Ukraine but grappled with internal
divisions over various domestic and foreign policy issues.

In Bulgaria's April 2023 parliamentary election, GERB-
SDS  won 26.5%  of the vote, followed by a PP-DB coalition
(24.6%), Revival (14.2%), DPS (13.8%), BSP (8.9%), and
ITN (4.1%). Following difficult negotiations, PP-DB and
GERB-SDS agreed   to a rotational government (initially
under Denkov) and a pro-EU program to finalize adoption


of the euro as Bulgaria's currency, join Europe's Schengen
area of free movement, and counter Russian influence in
Bulgaria, particularly in the security sector.

Bulgaria's political scene remains contentious. The
governing parties share pro-Western orientations but are
political rivals. The government's relations with the
opposition and President Radev also are fraught, including
over such issues as energy and military aid to Ukraine.

Figure I. Bulgaria at a Glance


Source: CRS figure using CIA World Factbook and IMF data.

Corruption,  Organized   Crime,  and the  Rule of Law
Corruption, organized crime, and rule-of-law challenges
intensified during Bulgaria's transition in the 1990s. Citing
concern that these issues had not been resolved when
Bulgaria joined the EU in 2007, Brussels continued to
monitor reforms through the Cooperation and Verification
Mechanism  (CVM).  The CVM   closed in late 2023, when
the EU assessed that Bulgaria met benchmarks in judicial
reform and in combating corruption and organized crime.

Some  observers assess that corruption and organized crime
remain significant barriers to good governance and
economic growth. Bulgaria is consistently among the worst-
scored EU member  states in Transparency International's
Corruption Perceptions Index. The U.S. State Department's
2023 Investment Climate Statement for Bulgaria assesses
that high-level corruption, particularly in public
procurement, remains a serious concern. The Biden
Administration has imposed sanctions on several prominent
Bulgarians for corruption (see below).

Economy
The World Bank  classifies Bulgaria as an upper-middle-
income country. Bulgaria's strategic location, relatively low
business costs, and EU membership have attracted
investment in such areas as information technology and the
automotive industry. Gross domestic product (GDP)
contracted by 3.9% in 2020 but grew by 7.6% in 2021.
Growth  slowed to 3.4% in 2022 and an estimated 1.7% in
2023, due in part to the economic impacts of Russia's war
on Ukraine. Bulgaria is to receive  5.7 billion in EU

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