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Updated April 5, 2023


Nicaragua


Nicaragua, a Central American country bordering Honduras
and Costa Rica, is experiencing significant political
repression under the authoritarian rule of President Daniel
Ortega, and his wife, Vice President Rosario Murillo. The
erosion of democracy under the Ortega-Murillo government
has strained relations with the United States and raised
congressional concerns.

Political   Situation
Daniel Ortega first rose to prominence as a leader of the
leftist Sandinista National Liberation Front (FSLN), which
toppled the U.S.-aligned Somoza family dictatorship that
ruled Nicaragua from 1936 to 1979. Ortega was elected
president in 1984 but was defeated in 1990 after more than a
decade of armed conflict between the FSLN government and
U.S-backed  Contra insurgents. From 1990 to 2001,
Nicaragua held three relatively free and fair elections in
which power  changed hands peacefully between non-
Sandinista presidents. Ortega returned to power in 2006 in
elections that many observers also judged to be free and fair.

In the ensuing years, Ortega's FSLN government
increasingly manipulated democratic processes. Subsequent
elections won by Ortega in 2011 and 2016 were widely
judged to be seriously flawed. In 2021, the Organization of
American  States (OAS) adopted a resolution asserting that
Ortega's most recent election (his fifth overall and fourth
consecutive term), had no democratic legitimacy, given
that all viable opposition candidates and parties were barred
from participation. In the past, the Ortega government's
social welfare programs helped improve Nicaraguans'
standard of living and maintained a strong support base for
the FSLN, which Ortega used to consolidate power. In 2018,
however, government-approved  tax reforms that included
tax increases and a reduction of social security benefits
sparked mass protests. The Ortega administration's
repressive response-which resulted in over 300 dead,
thousands injured, and hundreds detained and tortured-
generated global condemnation.

Despite domestic and international calls for Nicaragua to
reform its electoral laws and hold free and fair elections, the
Ortega administration's antidemocratic practices have
continued. Between 2007 and 2022, the Ortega government
closed more than 3,100 nongovernmental organizations
focused on issues such as human rights, medical care and
resources, education, and civil and social matters. More than
200,000 Nicaraguans have fled the country for political and
economic  reasons since 2018. A majority of those displaced
have sought asylum in neighboring Costa Rica, and some
have sought entry into the United States.

In February 2023, the Ortega administration released 222
political prisoners to the United States. A week after the


prisoner release, the Nicaraguan government stripped 94
political opponents of their citizenship and described them
as traitors to their homeland. As of April 2023, 37
political prisoners remained in Nicaragua, including Bishop
Rolando Alvarez, who is serving an internationally
condemned  prison sentence of more than 26 years.

               Nicaragua at a Glance
  Population: 6.7 million (2023, IMF est.)
  Area: 46,883 square miles, slightly smaller than Mississippi
  Gross Domestic  Product (GDP)/Per  Capita GDP:
  $15.7 billion/$2,380 (2022, current prices, IMF est.)
  Key Trading Partners: Exports: United States (52.3%),
  Mexico (12.9%), Honduras (7.3%) (2022, TDM) Imports: United
  States (26.9%), China (12.3%), Honduras (9.1%) (2022, TDM
  Sources: International Monetary Fund (IMF); Trade Data
  Monitor (TDM).


Economk Environment
Nicaragua has the second-lowest per capita income in the
Western Hemisphere, according to the World Bank. The
Ortega administration generally has maintained market-
oriented economic policies, and economic growth averaged
4.2% from 2007  to 2017, according to the IMF. However,
Nicaragua's GDP  contracted by 1.8% in 2020.
Unemployment   nearly doubled, from 6.2% in 2019 to an
estimated 11% in 2021. Economists have attributed this
economic  downturn to the effects of the country's political
crisis, the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
pandemic, and two major hurricanes.

The Nicaraguan economy  began to recover in 2021 with
10.3%  growth and 4.0% growth in 2022. The IMF projects
that growth will slow further to 3.0% in 2023. High inflation
and weaker global demand for the country's textile and
coffee exports have taken a toll on Nicaragua's small, open
economy.  Economic growth could slow further due to U.S.
sanctions on Nicaragua's gold sector, announced in October
2022. According to the Nicaraguan Central Bank, gold is
Nicaragua's top export and accounted for $927.4 million
worth of exports in 2022, including $893.5 million in exports
to the United States.

U.S.   Policy
U.S. policy toward Nicaragua aims to promote the
reestablishment of democratic practices, including free and
fair elections, support for human rights, and attention to
humanitarian needs. The Biden Administration, with support
from Congress, has enhanced U.S. sanctions against
Nicaragua in a stated effort to advance those policy goals
and hold the Ortega government accountable for its
antidemocratic practices and attacks on civil society.

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