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Congressional Research Servi
Informing the IegisIative debate sinco 1914


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                                                                                                   April 5, 2023

Social Security: Selected Findings of the 2023 Annual Report


According to the 2023 report of the Board of Trustees of
the Social Security Trust Funds, the program's finances are
in a similar, albeit marginally worse, position in 2023
relative to what they were in 2022. Under intermediate
assumptions, the projected combined trust fund asset
depletion date is 2034 (versus 2035 in last year's report),
after which the percentage of benefits payable would be
80%  (the same as in the 2022 report).

Social   Security   Overiew
Social Security is a self-financing program that in 2023
covers approximately 183 million workers and provides
monthly cash benefits to over 66 million beneficiaries. It is
the federal government's largest program in terms of both
the number of people affected (i.e., covered workers and
beneficiaries) and its finances. Social Security is composed
of Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) and Disability
Insurance (DI), referred to collectively as OASDI.

The OASDI   program is primarily financed (90.6% of total
revenues in 2022) through a payroll tax applied to Social
Security-covered earnings up to an annual limit. Some
beneficiaries pay income tax on a portion of their Social
Security benefits (4.0% of total revenue in 2022). From
1983 to 2009, the OASDI program collected more in tax
revenues than needed to pay benefits. Excess revenues are
held in interest-bearing U.S. Treasury securities, providing
a third source of funding for the program (5.4% of total
revenues in 2022). Monthly benefits are the largest OASDI
program cost (99.0% of total costs in 2022). Administrative
and other costs accounted for the remainder.

The   Trust   Funds
Both the OASI and DI programs use a trust fund financing
mechanism. Monies  credited to these trust funds are
earmarked for paying Social Security benefits and certain
administrative costs. Using a trust fund allows OASI and DI
programs to track their respective programs' revenues and
costs and to hold any accumulated assets from years when
revenues exceed costs. The OASI Trust Fund and DI Trust
Fund are legally distinct entities. They are discussed here
collectively as the OASDI trust funds.

A Board of Trustees manages the trust funds. The trustees'
annual reports to Congress on the trust funds' status and
financial operations include short-range (10-year) and long-
range (75-year) projections. In general, the trust funds'
solvency-the ability to pay full benefits scheduled under
current law on a timely basis-indicates their status. If
assets held in the trust funds were to be depleted, the
OASDI   program could pay out in benefits only what it
receives in revenues. Table 1 shows the trust funds' key
dates under the trustees' intermediate assumptions, which
reflect their best estimate of future experience.


Table   1. Key Dates Projected for the Social Security
  Trust Funds in the 2022 and 2023  Trustees Reports
      (Under the Trustees' Intermediate Assumptions)
                 2022 Report          2023 Report
             OASI    DI    OASDI  OASI    DI    OASDI
    Cost
 exceedstax  2010   2044   2010    2010  2044    2010
   revenues
      ost
   exceeds   2021   2090   2021    2021  >2097   2021
   total
   revenues
   Trustfund
   reserves  2034  >2096   2035    2033  >2097   2034
   depleted
Source: CRS, based on the 2022 and 2023 OASDI trustees report.

In the 2023 report, the trustees project a date of 2033 for
OASI  trust fund reserve depletion. The DI trust fund is not
projected to become depleted in the 75-year projection
period. As stated, the DI program continued to have low
levels of disability applications and benefit awards for
2022. Disability applications have declined substantially
since 2010, and the total number of disabled-worker
beneficiaries in current payment status has been falling
since 2014. Prior to the 2023 report, the 2022 report was
the first since 1983 in which the DI trust fund was not
projected to become depleted inside the 75-year projection
period.

In the previous year's (2022) report, as shown in Table 2,
the trustees projected that the trust funds' overall balance
(i.e., the total amount of accumulated asset reserves) would
decrease. Asset reserves held in the trust funds decreased
less than expected during 2022 owing to larger-than-
projected revenues relative to larger-than-projected costs.

Table   2. Financial Operations for the Social Security
  Trust Funds in the 2022 and 2023  Trustees Reports
  (In Billions; Under the Trustees' Intermediate Assumptions)
                          2022      2022       2023
                        (projected) (actual) (projected)
   Starting trust funds'
        arerus           $2,852.0  $2,852.0   $2,829.9
    _ _ _reserves
    Total revenue         1,195.8   1,221.8   1,334.7
      _ Total costs  _    1,242.7   1,243.9   1,387.9
  Change in trust funds'  -46.8      -22.1     -53.2
        reserves
    Ending trust funds'   2,805.2   2,829.9   2,776.7
        reserves
Source: CRS, based on the 2022 and 2023 OASDI trustees report.

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