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Updated February 14, 2023

Al Shabaab

Al Shabaab (Harakat Al Shabaab Al Mujahidin, Mujahidin
Youth Movement) is a Somalia-based insurgent and
terrorist group that U.S. Africa Command (AFRICOM) in
2022 labeled the largest, wealthiest, and most lethal Al
Qaeda affiliate in the world today. AFRICOM reports that
the group poses the greatest danger to U.S. citizens and
interests in East Africa, and is a threat to the United States.
Background
Al Shabaab emerged in the mid-2000s amidst a vacuum of
state authority in Somalia. It evolved out of a militant wing
of the federation of Islamic Courts that took control of
Mogadishu and much of southern Somalia in 2006. When
Ethiopia, which backed Somalia's nascent transitional
government, intervened militarily-with U.S. support-to
oust the Courts, Al Shabaab used historical anti-Ethiopian
sentiment among Somalis to draw recruits and support,
including among the diaspora in the United States.
Al Shabaab held much of south-central Somalia, including
the capital, from the late 2000s until African Union (AU)
forces gained momentum against the insurgency in 2011-
2012 and reclaimed some territory from the group. Shabaab
has nevertheless retained control over parts of the country,
despite international recognition of Somalia's federal
government in 2012 and a range of multilateral efforts to
degrade its capacity. The group also maintains influence
and the ability to conduct attacks in government-held areas.
Relationshp with Al Qaeda
Some of Al Shabaab's founding members trained with Al
Qaeda (AQ) in Afghanistan, and senior AQ operatives in
East Africa, including Fazul Mohammed-the late
mastermind of the U.S. embassy bombings in Kenya and
Tanzania-have been associated with the group. After
expressions of allegiance to Al Qaeda in Al Shabaab's early
years, the groups announced a formal affiliation in 2012.
While Al Shabaab's leaders appear to broadly share Al
Qaeda's transnational agenda, the group operates
independently. Among other AQ affiliates, the group
maintains ties with Al Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula
(AQAP), with which it runs a smuggling network.
In 2015, some Al Shabaab members pressed for a shift in
allegiance to the Islamic State (IS). Al Shabaab leadership
rejected the proposal and launched a deadly crackdown
against IS supporters. A small IS faction in northern
Somalia survived the purge. Al Shabaab remains the
dominant group and appears to view the IS cell as a rival.
The Threat
Al Shabaab has waged an asymmetric campaign against the
Somali government, AU forces, and foreign targets in
Somalia. Per UN data, 2022 was its deadliest year since
2017, when a truck bomb in Mogadishu killed over 500
people (Al Shabaab's deadliest single attack to date).

While the group has focused primarily on Somalia, it also
threatens the countries participating in the African
Transition Mission in Somalia (ATMIS, previously known
as AMISOM) and has conducted attacks in neighboring
countries and Uganda. Al Shabaab has been most active in
Kenya, which launched a military operation in Somalia
against the group in 2011 (Kenya joined AMISOM in
2012). The group has killed hundreds of Kenyans, many
through hit-and-run attacks near the Somali border. Its 2015
assault on a university in northeast Kenya, which killed at
least 147 people, was the deadliest terrorist attack in Kenya
since Al Qaeda's 1998 bombing of the U.S. embassy.
Al Shabaab's July 2022 incursion into Ethiopia is its largest
operation outside Somalia to date, reportedly involving
some 2,000 Al Shabaab fighters. UN experts estimate that
as many as 1,000 fighters remain in Ethiopia, giving it a
foothold, despite Ethiopian claims of routing the group.
Al Shabaab has threatened U.S. and Western targets in the
region and called for attacks against the United States.
Attacks on international targets in Kenya's capital-the
2013 Westgate Mall siege and the 2019 DusitD2 hotel
assault-raised the group's international profile. Over 50
U.S. citizens were reportedly in the Westgate mall when the
attack started-all escaped but six were injured. In 2020, Al
Shabaab killed a U.S. soldier and two U.S. contractors
during a raid on Manda Bay Airfield, a Kenyan military
facility used by the U.S. military near the Somali border.
The group has not claimed any attacks in the United States.
It has, however, encouraged lone-wolf attacks in its
propaganda, and in 2015, it produced a video identifying
shopping malls in Europe and the United States as potential
targets. In 2019, a Kenyan national was arrested in the
Philippines and later extradited to the United States on
charges of conspiring to hijack an aircraft on behalf of Al
Shabaab to conduct a 9/11-style attack in the United States.
Objectives
Al Shabaab rejects democracy, broadly ascribing to a vision
of uniting ethnic Somali-inhabited areas of Djibouti, Kenya,
Ethiopia, and Somalia in an Islamic state under its version
of Sharia law. It characterizes the Somali government as an
illegitimate apostate authority that is beholden to foreign
powers. Al Shabaab leaders have repeatedly expressed their
commitment to global jihad. They justify attacks outside
Somalia as retaliation against countries conducting military
operations in Somalia and as retribution for alleged abuses
against Muslims. Al Shabaab described the Manda Bay and
DusitD2 attacks in Kenya as consistent with Al Qaeda
directives to target U.S. and Israeli interests, and referred to
the airfield as one of the launch pads for the American
crusade against Islam in the region. Al Shabaab activities
in Kenya more broadly appear focused on sowing internal
dissent and fomenting an insurgency. Its fighters have
specifically targeted non-Muslims in some attacks there.

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