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January 10, 2023
Understanding Linked Climate and Weather Hazards and the
Challenges to Federal Emergency Management

The U.S. National Oceanic and Atmospheric
Administration (NOAA) estimates that in 2022, the United
States experienced 15 separate weather-related disasters
that caused at least one billion dollars in damages-the
eighth consecutive year to have 10 or more such events.
The impacts of such incidents are widespread: since 2011,
many U.S. counties have experienced at least one federally
declared disaster following a weather-related event. Such
trends present the 118th Congress with questions regarding
the appropriate role of the federal government in disaster
management.
Recent disasters have strained affected state, local, tribal,
and territorial governments (SLTTs) and revealed the limits
of federal authorities to assist with emergency management
activities including:
* disaster response (urgent efforts to save lives and
protect property and the environment);
* recovery (restoring essential services and facilities); and
* mitigation (reducing long-term risks to life, property,
and the environment).
A warming climate, the increasing cost and complexity of
some disasters, and the risk of linked hazards (e.g., post-
wildfire flooding and debris flows like mudslides) have
raised concerns regarding the generally reactive nature of
federal disaster assistance authorities and how, if at all, they
should adapt.
Clmate and Weather Hazards
Hazardous weather and climate events include severe
storms, tropical cyclones, drought, wildfires, and extreme
heat or cold. These hazards-and their effects-may occur
on a variety of time scales. Some strike suddenly (rapid-
onset) and conclude quickly, like tornadoes. Others, like
wildfires, develop rapidly and may last for days, weeks, or
months. Still others, like drought, develop slowly (slow-
onset) and may persist for months to years, becoming
chronic. Similarly, some hazards may cause damage slowly
without distinct temporal boundaries (e.g., erosion).
Cascading, linked, or compound hazards-events that may
overlap or occur consecutively-amplify the risk of adverse
impacts to humans and natural resources. For example,
drought conditions can amplify wildfire risk, and a wildfire
can exacerbate subsequent flooding and debris flow risk.
The federal government faces challenges in managing the
risk and effects of such linked hazards.
Scientific understanding of these hazards can inform
disaster assistance. Congress furnished a number of federal
agencies with responsibilities for understanding these

hazards, including hazard monitoring, modeling,
forecasting and issuing alerts, and supporting research.
Scientific advancements across those areas have improved
disaster assistance, but many gaps still exist. For instance,
scientists remain uncertain about how linked hazards may
change in the future.
Increasing Disaster Risk
Disaster risk is often expressed as a function of the
frequency, duration, and intensity of hazards (e.g., extreme
rainfall) along with an individual or community's exposure
(e.g., development along coastal areas) and vulnerability
(e.g., low socioeconomic status or inadequate building
standards). For example, disaster risk increases as more
people settle near fire-prone forests or floodplains.
Concurrent or cascading hazards can further intensify the
effects and increase the resultant costs of disasters.
U.S. Emergency Management
The United States generally approaches emergency
management from the bottom up. Disaster response and
recovery begins at the local level, with affected SLTTs
directly managing incidents in their own jurisdictions. The
President and other federal agencies generally provide
assistance only after a discrete incident, following a request
by a state, territorial, or tribal executive indicating that the
existing resources are insufficient to address the situation.
These procedures do not easily align with slow-onset,
chronic, or linked disasters that may lack a clear beginning
and end. The effects of such disasters may be gradual or
appear to be unrelated (e.g., homes lost to coastal erosion,
or damages caused by debris flows months after initial
wildfires). For this reason, the federal government may
determine that federal assistance is unnecessary, resulting in
less assistance for affected communities.
Coordinating Federal Agencies and Assistance
Depending on the type and severity of a disaster, federal
assistance may be available through a range of agencies,
including the Federal Emergency Management Agency
(FEMA), the Small Business Administration, the
Department of Housing and Urban Development, the U.S.
Department of Agriculture (the lead agency for drought),
and the U.S. Forest Service (a lead agency for wildfire).
The Department of Homeland Security has pre-identified
agency and nonfederal roles in disaster assistance and has
documented them in guidance, including the National
Response Framework and the National Disaster Recovery
Framework.

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