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Belarus: An Overview
Since August 2020, authorities in Belarus have engaged in a
wide-ranging political, media, and civil society crackdown
that human rights monitors have called unprecedented
and catastrophic. About 35,000 Belarusians reportedly
have been detained or imprisoned; about 675 are considered
political prisoners. Several have been killed or have died
under suspicious circumstances. In addition to persecuting
opposition members and protest participants, authorities
have intensified repression against independent media and
civil society organizations (including U.S.-funded Radio
Free Europe/Radio Liberty), journalists, and human rights
defenders. The United States, the European Union (EU),
and others have called for an end to the crackdown and for
the government to hold free and fair presidential elections.
The crackdown in Belarus emerged in response to the rise
of a mass opposition movement, on a scale unseen since
Belarus became independent in 1991 (Belarus previously
was part of the Soviet Union). The movement arose out of
protests against allegedly widespread electoral fraud in the
wake of an August 2020 presidential election, during which
opposition candidate Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya mounted an
unexpectedly strong campaign against Aleksandr
Lukashenko, who has ruled Belarus for more than 27 years.
Political Background
In past years, observers debated whether Lukashenko could
be encouraged to preside over a softer regime, but
political openings in Belarus were modest and short-lived.
From May 2020, Belarusian authorities tried but failed to
suppress an unexpectedly energetic electoral opposition.
Tsikhanouskaya was a political novice who entered the race
after her spouse, a popular anti-government video blogger,
was denied candidate registration and imprisoned.
Tsikhanouskaya became the united opposition candidate
after two prominent potential candidates also were denied
registration. One of them, banker Viktar Babaryka, was
arrested on charges of bribery and money laundering that
observers considered politically motivated. In July 2021,
Babaryka was sentenced to 14 years in prison.
On the campaign trail, Tsikhanouskaya pledged to be a
transitional figure who would reintroduce democracy to
Belarus. Babaryka's campaign manager, Mariya
Kalesnikava, and the spouse of another denied candidate
joined her on the campaign. The three women attracted tens
of thousands to demonstrations.
Given Lukashenko's authoritarian rule, observers did not
expect Tsikhanouskaya to win the election. However, the
official pronouncement that Lukashenko won with an
evidently exaggerated 80% of the vote quickly led to
protests. A brutal crackdown that followed led to larger

Updated September 17, 2021

protests that many observers characterized as leaderless
and that sometimes attracted hundreds of thousands.
Tsikhanouskaya left Belarus after she was detained and
threatened with imprisonment. From neighboring Lithuania,
she formed a Coordination Council to help lead the
opposition. Kalesnikava was abducted and dispatched to the
Belarus-Ukraine border. She was imprisoned after she
refused to leave the country. In September 2021,
Kalesnikava and another council member, Maksim Znak,
were sentenced to 11 and 10 years in prison, respectively.
The opposition has organized various actions to increase
pressure on the government of Belarus and to secure
international attention. A network of former law
enforcement officials who seek to expose alleged
government crimes has supported the opposition. Members
of Belarus's once-burgeoning information and
communications technology industry, many of whom have
left the country, also have supported the opposition.

Figure I. Belarus at a Glance

Sources: World Bank; Trade Data Monitor.

Forced Fhght Diversion and Irregular
Migrant Flows
Belarusian authorities have taken aggressive actions
internationally. On May 23, 2021, authorities alleged a
bomb threat against Ryanair Flight 4978 (en route from
Athens to Vilnius) and required the plane to land in Minsk
with a military escort. A senior EU official referred to the
seemingly fake threat as an act of state piracy. The
evident purpose of the diversion was to capture passenger
Raman Pratasevich, cofounder of a popular Belarusian
online news channel that had facilitated 2020 postelection
protests. Belarusian authorities arrested Pratasevich and his
companion, Russian national Sofia Sapega, after the plane
landed in Minsk. The United Nations' International Civil
Aviation Organization launched an investigation of the
incident. In June 2021, authorities transferred Pratasevich
and Sapega to house arrest.

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