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April 1, 2022

Russia's Trade Status, Tariffs, and WTO Issues

Following Russia's 2022 invasion of Ukraine, Congress is
considering legislation to revoke Russia's permanent
normal trade relations (PNTR) status, which provides
unconditional, nondiscriminatory, most-favored nation
(MFN) treatment to goods and services traded with Russia.
On March 11, 2022, President Joe Biden announced his
support for such legislation, in coordination with the G-7
countries. On March 17, the House passed H.R. 7108,
which would suspend PNTR with Russia and Belarus;
provide the President authority to further increase non-
MFN tariffs; and provide authority to restore normal trade
relations (NTR) under certain conditions. It also directs the
U.S. Trade Representative (USTR) to use its voice and
influence at the World Trade Organization (WTO) to
encourage other WTO members to suspend trade
concessions; consider further steps toward suspending
Russia from the WTO; and seek to halt Belarus's accession
process. Removing Russia's PNTR status would increase
applicable duties on U.S. imports from Russia, potentially
impacting certain sectors reliant on Russian inputs, and
raise issues under U.S. WTO obligations.
History of Russia's Trading Status
During 1992 to 2012, Russia's NTR status was renewed by
the President annually under Title IV of the Trade Act of
1974 (19 U.S.C. § 2431). The Act requires the President to
deny NTR status to any country that did not have it at the
time of the law's enactment on January 3, 1975, essentially
covering nonmarket economy countries (i.e., the Soviet
Union and other Communist countries). It further denies
NTR status as long as the country denies its citizens the
right to freedom of emigration under Section 402 of the Act
(the so-called Jackson-Vanik Amendment), which Congress
enacted in response to restrictive emigration policies the
Soviet Union implemented in 1972.
Amending Russia's trade status was tied to its WTO
accession in August 2012. MFN treatment is a cornerstone
of the WTO and its predecessor-the 1947 General
Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT). WTO rules
generally require each member to provide unconditional
MFN treatment (i.e., a member's lowest tariff or best trade
concession) to all WTO members. To comply with WTO
rules and ensure the United States benefited from the terms
of Russia's WTO membership (e.g., market access
commitments, and recourse to dispute settlement
procedures), Congress passed legislation in 2012 that
removed Title IV restrictions and provided the President
authority to extend PNTR to Russia.
Some proposed legislation to remove Russia's PNTR status
would reapply Title IV restrictions and procedures to
Russia for purposes of reinstating NTR. Other bills would
add new conditions that Russia would have to meet before
regaining such status.

Delegated Presidential Tariff Authorities
Although congressional revocation of Russia's PNTR status
would subject Russian imports to non-MFN tariffs, the
President already possesses broad authority to restrict trade.
In the International Emergency Economic Powers Act
(IEEPA, 50 U.S.C. § 1601 et seq.), Congress authorized the
President to regulate a variety of economic transactions
after declaring a national emergency. No president has
relied upon IEEPA to impose tariffs, but presidents have
used the Act to impose other trade measures. For example,
on March 11, 2022, President Biden cited IEEPA when
banning the import of certain products of Russian origin,
imposing export controls, restricting investment in Russia,
and taking other measures. Thus, even if Congress does not
impose a blanket revocation of Russia's MFN treatment,
the President could rely upon IEEPA or other provisions of
federal law (e.g., Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act
of 1962) to impose tariffs on Russian imports.
Trade Impact from Removing PNTR
If Russia's PNTR were revoked, applicable duty rates on
U.S. imports from Russia would be the rates listed in
column 2 of the U.S. Harmonized Tariff Schedule (HTS),
unless otherwise specified by law or via other presidential
authorities. Column 2 duty rates are generally higher than
column 1 rates, which apply to countries with NTR.
Pertinent for Russian trade, non-MFN rates for raw
materials are relatively low.
Although U.S. imports from Russia account for a relatively
small share of U.S. imports (around 1% in 2021 based on
U.S. trade data), some commodities are important to
specific U.S. industries. For example, in 2021, certain
titanium products (used by the aerospace industry)
accounted for roughly 53% of total U.S. imports of similar
products. Without PNTR, the duty rate for these products
would increase from 15% to 45%. Based on the 2021
dutiable value of those products, U.S. importers would pay
an additional $32.4 million in duties. Duty rates for most
petroleum oil, a major Russian export (over 50% of U.S.
imports from Russia) would double (see Table 1).
On March 8, 2022, the Biden Administration announced a
ban on imports of Russian crude oil and certain petroleum
products, liquefied natural gas, and coal. Subsequently, the
Administration announced import bans on other key goods,
including seafood, spirits/vodka, and non-industrial
diamonds. In response, Russia announced an export ban on
over 200 products, including medical equipment,
agricultural machinery, and grain.
It is difficult to estimate the direct impact on prices from
tariff increases, partly because U.S. importers may source
from other countries to offset possible increased costs.
Industries reliant on Russian inputs would be impacted

ittps://trsreports.congress.gt

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