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Updated July 26, 2021

The LIBOR Transition

LIBOR is a key benchmark interest rate underpinning many
financial contracts, butit is scheduled to be discontinued
starting at the end of 2021. This In Focus discusses efforts
to transition away fromthe use of LIBOR in financial
products in order to avoid disruption if LIBOR disappears.
LIBOR
What Is LIBOR? LIBOR refers to the London Interbank
Offered Rate. It is privately determinedby polling more
than a dozen large globalbanks in London about the
interest rate at which they can borrow for v arious lengths of
time (tenors)in U.S. dollars and fourothercurrencies.
Thus, at any pointin time, there are severalLIBOR rates.
LIBOR dates backto the 1960s and has beenpublished
daily since 1986.
How Is It Used? LIBOR is a benchmark or referencerate
that helps financial market participants gauge prevailing
interest rates. In the United States, many financial
instruments are tied to dollar LIBORs, including certain
floating-rate loans, bonds, securitized products, and
financial derivatives. For example, an adjus table mortgage
rate might be set at LIBOR plus a fixed markup. Each
month, the rate on the mortgage would be reset based on the
prevailing LIBOR A type of derivative called an interest
rate swap might also reference LIBOR. One party to the
swap would receiveaperiodic paymentbasedon a
predetermined fixed interest rate, while the otherparty
would receive a payment tied to a rate that adjusts basedon
the current LIBOR. As of2020, LIBOR was referenced in
an estimated $223 trillion of financial instruments.
What Was the LIBOR Scandal? In 2012, the British-
based bankBarclays was fined by its British regulator and
settled with theU.S. Justice Department, Commodity
Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), and a group of states
for manipulating LIBOR. Barclays was one of the banks
that was polled to determine LIBOR From 2005 to 2008,
employees at Barclays submitted LIBOR data that did not
accurately reflect Barclay s' borrowing costs. They did so
for two reasons: (1) to profit from Barclays' swaps trading
based onLIBOR and (2) to maskweakness in Barclays'
financial condition during the financial crisis. Subsequently,
several other banks reached settlements with regulators for
manipulating LIBOR and operating a derivatives cartel that
involved sharing information on, among other things,
LIBOR submissions. Private parties have also sued
submitting banks over LIBOR manipulation.
An inherent weakness of LIBOR that made it potentially
susceptible to manipulation is that on any given day there
may be little or no actualborrowing by banks at thevarious
tenors that are reported. In that case, polled banks submitted
theirbest estimate of what their borrowing costs would be if

they wishedto borrow, givingbanks some discretion in
what rates they reported. This problemgrew following the
financial crisis because banks borrowed les s as a result of
the large increase in bankreserves.
How Was It Reformed? The LIBOR scandal revealed that
a rate determining the value of financial products worth
trillions of dollars could be manipulatedby employees at a
handfulof banks. Policymakers initiated severalreforms in
response to the scandal. First, publicationofthe rate was
transferred fromthe British Bankers Association and made
more transparent. Second, production of the rate became
regulated by the British financial regulator. Third,
calculation of the rate was modified to increase the weight
on actual data and reduce the weight onbest guesses in
the absence of borrowing. Fourth, policymakers have
encouraged a transition away fromthe use of LIBOR.
What Happens Next? For all but the most popular
currencies and tenors, there is insufficient borrowing to
determine LIBOR using only borrowing data, so data
quality and integrity remains questionable. Participation in
the LIBOR sample is voluntary and confers limited benefit,
and participants are leery of potential further legal
exposure. As aresult, British regulators have announced
that LIBOR will be discontinuedbetween December 31,
2021, and June 30,2023.
The LIBOR Transition
Given LIBOR's shortcomings and its planned
dis appearance after 2021, policymakers and market
participants are actively encouraging financial institutions
to transition fromLIBOR to alternative benchmarks. It is
unclear, however, whether sufficient progress has been
made to avoid disruption when LIBOR disappears.
What Risks Does the LIBOR Transition Pose? Financial
firms using LIBORface leg al, operational, credit,
regulatory, and reputational risk. In addition, the LIBOR
transition may pose s ystemic risk-the risk that a dis ordely
transitioncould cause widespread financialinstability.
Financial contracts using LIBOR may include fallback
language that explicitly addresses what would happen if
LIBOR is discontinued. These contracts are less
problematic thanlegacy contracts that do notinclude
fallbacklanguage and mature after LIBOR's disappearance.
If unaddressed, legacy contracts could stop functioning or
lead to leg al action between parties to the contracts. Parties
to a legacy contract can mitigate these risks by amending
contracts to incorporate robust fallback language. However,
in many cases, allparties must agree to an amendment.

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