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Belarus: An Overview

In 2020, protests against allegedly widespread electoral
fraud and a brutalcrackdown on protesters led to the rise of
a mass opposition movement in Belarus, on a s cale unseen
since the country became independent in 1991 (Belarus
previously was part of the Soviet Union). The protests
emerged in the wake of Belarus's August 2020presidential
election, during which opposition candidate Sviatlana
Ts ikhanouskaya mounted an unexpectedly strong campaign
against Aleksandr Lukashenko, who has ruled Belarus for
more than 26 years.
Since August 2020, about 35,000 Belarusians reportedly
have been detained or impris oned. More than 500,
including 62 women, are considered politicalprisoners.
Several individuals have been killed or have died under
suspicious circumstances. The United States, the European
Union (EU), and others have called for an end to the
crackdown and for the government to hold free and fair
presidential elections.
Forced Diversion of Ryanair Flight 4978
On May 23, 2021, Belarusian authorities alleged a bomb
threat against Ryanair Flight 4978 (en route fromAthens to
Vilnius) and required theplane to land in Minsk with a
military escort. The diversion was widely characterized as a
bomb hoax, and a senior EU official referred to it as an act
of state piracy. The apparent purpose of the diversion was
to capture flight passenger Raman Pratasevich, co-founder
of Nexta, a popular Belarusian online news channel that
facilitated 2020 postelection protests in Belarus. Authorities
arrested Pratasevich and his companion, Russian national
Sofia Sapega, after theplane landed. The United Nations'
International Civil Aviation Organization launched an
investigation of the incident. After the EUimposed related
sanctions in June 2021, authorities transferred Pratasevich
and Sapegato house arrest.
Political Background
In past years, observers debated whether Lukashenko could
be encouraged to preside over a softer and more
development-oriented authoritarian regime, but political
openings in Belarus were modest and short-lived.
From May 2020, Belarusian authorities tried but failed to
suppress an unexpectedly energetic electoral opposition.
Ts ikhanouskay a was a political novice who entered the race
afterher spouse, SiarheiTsikhanousky, a popular anti-
government video blogger, was denied candidate
registration when he and dozens ofother government critics
were in temporary detention. After his initialrelease,
Tsikhanousky was arrested again while collecting
signatures forhis wife's candidacy. In June 2021, trial
proceedings began against the imprisoned Tsikhanousky
and otherpoliticalprisoners, including Radio Free
Europe/Radio Liberty consultant Ihar Losik.

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Tsikhanouskayabecame the united opposition candidate
after two prominent potential candidates were denied
registration. On the campaign trail, Tsikhanouskaya
pledged to bea transitional figure who would reintroduce
democracy to Belarus. One denied candidate's campaign
manager, Mariya Kalesnikava, and the spouseofanother
denied candidate joined heron the campaign. The three
women attracted tens of thousands to demonstrations.
Given Lukashenko's authoritarian rule, observers did not
expect Tsikhanouskaya to win the election. However, the
official pronouncement that Lukashenko won with an
evidently exaggerated 80% of the vote quickly led to
protests. The brutal crackdown that followed led to larger
protests that many observers characterized as leaderless
and sometimes attracted hundreds of thousands.
Figure I. Belarus at a Glance

Sources: World Bank; Trade Data Monitor.

Tsikhanouskayaleft Belarus after she was detained and
threatened with imprisonment. Fromneighboring Lithuania,
she formed a Coordination Council to help lead the
opposition; five of the council's seven seniormembers wer
detained after it was established. Former campaign manager
Kalesnikava was abducted and dispatched to the Belarus-
Poland border. She was imprisoned after she refused to
leave the country. Kales nikav a and another council member
remain in prison. Others have left Belarus.
The oppositionhas organized various actions to increase
pressure on the government of Belarus and to secure
international attention. A network of former law
enforcement officials who seekto exposealleged
government crimes has supportedthe opposition. Members
of Belarus's once-burgeoning information and
communications technology industry, many ofwhomhave
left the country, also have supported the opposition.
Relations with Russia
Belarus's closestpartner is Rus sia. Belarus is a member of
the Russia-led Collective Security Treaty Organization, and
.congress.gov

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