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Origins of the COVID-19 Pandemic

In late 2019, a new coronavirus, SARS-CoV-2, was
identified in Wuhan, China. The virus, which causes
Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), has contributed to
significant morbidity (illness) and mortality (death), as well
as severe public health and economic effects, among other
impacts. SeveralMembers ofCongress have made public
statements and introduced legislation calling for an
investigation into the origin of SARS-CoV-2. Determining
the origin and pathway by which a zoonotic disease (i.e.,
one that originated in animals) emerges and is transmitted
to humans can help s cientists prevent further outbreaks,
inform the public health response, and aid in the
development of therapeutics and vaccines. Further, such
knowledge may guide the development of policies and
practices thatreduce thepotential for the emergence of
other zoonotic diseases. Determining the origin of zoonotic
diseases can take years, and in some cases, an origin may
never be conclusively identified.
In May 2020, the 73rd World Health Assembly (WHA)-
the governingbody of the World Health Organization
(WHO)-passed a resolution (WHA 73.1) requesting the
WHO Director-General to identify the source of SARS-
CoV-2 and the route oftransmissionto humans, among
other things. WHO sent a teamto China in July 2020 to
develop a workplan and begin collecting and analyzing
data, including
 studies of all-cause mortality and deaths from
respiratory diseases, including pneumonia, in and
around Wuhanin late 2019;
 testing ofstored animalsamples for SARS-CoV-2;
 national disease surveillance data; and
 reports ofretailpharmacy purchases ofmedicines to
reduce fevers and treat cold and flu symptoms.
FromJanuary 14through February 10, 2021, a teamof 34
experts-17 from China and 17 from other countries and
organizations-traveled to Wuhan to collect and analyze
existing and additional data. On March 30,2021, WHO
released its report on the mission, which summarized
findings fromsite visits and discussions with Chinese local
and national experts. Thereportpresented four hypotheses
on the origin of SARS-CoV-2 and assessed their likelihood
of being the cause.
Origin Hypotheses: Independent Team Findings
Hypotheses on SARS-CoV-2 origins follow and are
illustrated in Figure 1. The team's findings are italicized.
(1) Introduction through an intermediate host, a likely-
to-very-likely hypothesis that an intermediatehost species,
infected by an animalreservoir host (the animal where the
virus lives, grows, andmultiplies), carried the virus and

transmittedit to humans. No intermediatehosts have been
identified.
(2) Direct zoonotic spillover, a possible-to-likely
pathway throughwhich SARS-CoV-2 could havebeen
transmitted froman animal reservoirhostto ahuman. Bats
are seen as a likely res ervoir host, as several studies have
identified high genetic similarity between SARS-CoV-2
and coronaviruses found in certain batspecies found in
China and elsewhere in South Asia.
(3) Introduction through cold/food-chain products, a
possible hypothesis positing that people contracted
SARS-CoV-2 through contact with contaminated food,
potentially including frozen, imported foodstuffs. SARS-
CoV-2 has been identified on frozen food, its packaging,
and cold-chain products (items stored at controlled
temperatures to preserve and extend shelf life).
(4) Introduction through a laboratory incident, an
extremely unlikely hypothesis considering whether
laboratory staff accidentally contracted and later spread
SARS-CoV-2 while researching coronaviruses in bats. The
WHOreport did not consider a hypothesis that the virus
was released intentionally, stating thatit had beenruled out
by other s cientists.
Ultimately, the investigators did notidentify the sourceof
SARS-CoV-2 and recommended further studies. The team
also called for regular administrative and internal reviews
of high-levelbiosafety laboratories worldwide to address
what they characterized as the need for more data.
U.S. Government Responseto the Report
On March 30, 2021, the United States and 13 other
countries issued a joint statement expressing concerns about
delays and access to complete, originaldata and s amles.
Also in March. American health exoerts and more than 50
other international snecialis ts published an oven letter that
describedtheshortcomings ofthe study andcalled for
establishing a structure and process outside of WHO for
conducting subsequent investigations. U.S. officials are
reconsidering previously dis counted as sertions by the
Trump Administration that thepandemic may have
originated froma laboratory accidentin Wuhan, China.
President Joe Biden directed the Intelligence Community to
report its finding on the matterby August 2021. Observers
note that the closest known strain to SARS CoV-2has been
sequenced at the Wuhan Institute of Viro logv (WIV). DNA
sea uencin gis the nrocess of determining thenucleic acid
sequence of a gene, not creating or manipulating a gene.
U.S. Efforts to Control Zoonotic Diseases
For decades, U.S. federal agencies have worked to
strengthen international bio security and advance global
pandemic prep aredness. This section summarizes selected
efforts related to the four hypotheses.

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