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                                                                                          Updated May  5, 2021
Belarus: An Overview


In 2020, protests against allegedly widespread electoral
fraud and a brutal crackdown onprotestors led to therise of
a mass opposition movement in Belarus, on a s cale unseen
since the country became independent in 1991 (Belarus
previously was part of the Soviet Union). The protests
emerged in the wake of Belarus's August 2020presidential
election, during which opposition candidate Sviatlana
Tsikhanouskayamounted   an unexpectedly strong campaign
against Aleksandr Lukashenko, who has ruled Belarus for
more than 26 years.

Human  rights activists and monitors report that during the
crackdown  more than 33,000 Belarusians have been
temporarily detained or impris oned and that currently 360,
including more than 45 women, are politicalprisoners. At
least 10 demonstrators and others have beenkilled or died
in custody or undersuspicious circumstances.

The United States, the European Union (EU), the U.N.
Human  Rights Council, and others have called for an end to
the crackdown and for the government to conduct a
dialogue with the opposition and to hold free and fair
presidential elections.

Political   Background
In past years, observers debated whether Lukashenko could
be encouraged to preside over a softer and more
development-oriented authoritarian regime, but political
openings in Belarus were modest and short-lived. Prior to
the 2020 election, Lukashenko appeared to be interested in
tightening Belarus's authoritarian system. In 2019 elections,
pro-government candidates won all 110 seats in the lower
houseofBelarus's legislature. In 2020, Lukashenko
appointed an official from the security sector as prime
minister.

FromMay   2020, Belarusian authorities tried,but failed, to
suppress an unexpectedly energetic electoral opposition.
Tsikhanouskay a was a politicalnovice who entered the race
after her spouse, Siarhei Ts ikhanousky, a popular anti-
government  video blogger, was denied candidate
registration whenhe and dozens ofother governmentcritics
were in temporary detention. After his initialrelease,
Tsikhanousky was arrested again while collecting
signatures forhis wife's candidacy; he remains in prison.

Tsikhanouskayabecame  the united opposition candidate
after two prominent potential candidates were denied
registration. On the campaign trail, Tsikhanouskaya
pledged to bea transitional figure who would reintroduce
democracy  to Belarus. One denied candidate's campaign
manager, Mariya Kalesnikava, and the spouseof another
denied candidate, Veranika Ts apkala,joinedher on the
campaign. The three women attracted tens of thousands to
demonstrations.


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Given Lukashenko's authoritarian rule, observers did not
expect Tsikhanouskaya to win the election. However, the
official pronouncement that Lukashenko won with an
evidently exaggerated 80% of the vote (to 10% for
Tsikhanouskaya) quickly led to protests. The brutal
crackdown  that followed led to larger protests that many
observers characterized as leaderless and sometimes
attracted hundreds ofthousands. Protests subsequently
dwindled in frequency and size, but activists adoptednew
methods ofprotest andengagement.

Fiaure I _ RIlarui at a Cinnre


Sources: World Bank; Trade Data Monitor.


Exile, imprisonment, and persecutionhave imposed
challenges for the opposition. Ts ikhanouskay aleft Belarus
after she was detained and threatened with imprisonment.
From  neighboring Lithuania, Tsikh anouskay a formed a
Coordination Council to help lead the opposition. Five of
the council's seven senior members were detained after it
was established. In September2020, former campaign
manager  Kalesnikava was abducted and dispatched to the
Belarus -Poland border. She was imprisoned after she
refused to leave the country. Kalesnikava and another
council member, Maxim Znak, remain in prison. Others
have left Belarus.

The oppositionhas organized various actions to increase
pressure on the government of Belarus and to secure
international attention. The opposition has been supported
by a networkof former law enforcement officials who
reportedly quit their jobs in protest (or were dis mis sed) and
who  seekto expose allegedgovernment crimes, including
against opposition figures and protesters. The opposition
also has been supportedby members ofBelarus's once-
burgeoning information and communications technology
(ICT) industry, many of whomhave left the country
together with s everal ICT comp anies.

Relations with the West
The United States, the EU, and others have condemned
state-sponsoredviolence against protestors anddetainees in
.conagress.gov


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