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                                                                                        Updated February 9, 2021

WTO: Ministerial Delay, COVID-19, and Ongoing Issues


Overview
Due to the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)
pandemic, the World Trade Organization (WTO) postponed
its 12th Ministerial Conference (MC12) planned for June
2020. The biennial meeting, which usually involves active
U.S. participation, was widely anticipated as an action-
forcing event for the WTO amid serious challenges facing
the multilateral trading system. Some members had hoped
key results for ongoing negotiations could help bolster the
WTO's  relevance. In addition, a dispute settlement crisis
continues, with the Appellate Body ceasing to operate in
December  2019, and no consensus on solutions. Broader
reforms of the institution also remain under active
discussion, including some U.S. proposals. While MC12
and other meetings were suspended, members are
attempting to continue some WTO operations virtually.
Members  also face final selection of a new WTO Director-
General (DG). The post has been vacant since fall 2020,
after the Trump Administration objected to Nigeria's Ngozi
Okonjo-Iweala, the candidate who had received the
majority of WTO member  support. In early February, the
Biden Administration announced support for her candidacy,
removing a major obstacle to her appointment.
The WTO   can play a unique role in coordinating global
trade responses, which could be critical in mitigating the
global economic and trade downturn in the wake of
COVID-19.  The WTO   has committed to work with other
international organizations to minimize disruptions to cross-
border trade and global supply chains-in particular those
central to combatting the virus-while safeguarding public
health concerns. It has sought to inform members of the
impacts of the pandemic on trade and encouraged them to
notify the WTO of any trade-related measures taken in
response to COVID-19. The number  of trade restrictions,
including curbs on exports, increased significantly during
2020, raising debate about the policies' economic impacts
and consistency with WTO rules. At the same time, other
countries have since lifted the temporary restrictions and
committed to trade openness.
Some  Members  of Congress have expressed support for
ongoing WTO   reform efforts, sought clarification on the
positions of the Administration, and proposed trade-related
legislation in response to COVID-19.

MC   12  Delay   and   Implications
After the declaration of COVID-19 as a pandemic,
Kazakhstan, the host for the WTO's MC12, cancelled the
planned meetings. A new date and venue have yet to be
confirmed given the ongoing pandemic. Following mixed
results from the last ministerial in 2017, the United States
and other WTO  members  look to MC12 as a turning point
to conclude some negotiations and announce significant
progress on multiple initiatives, demonstrating the value of
the WTO.  The delayed MC12  may serve as a critical forum
for taking stock of various WTO reform proposals (see


below). Some WTO   activities and negotiations continue
virtually. An informal ministerial was held virtually in
January 2021 and members, including the United States,
expressed an urgent need to move forward with finalizing
the new DG  selection and postponed MC12.
Select Ongoing   Negotiations  of U.S. Interest
Fisheries. Members had committed to finish negotiations
on fisheries subsidies by MC12, an achievement many view
as critical to upholding the WTO's legitimacy. The chair
has continued talks virtually and issued revised
consolidated negotiated text for members to review and
debate. The United States had supported equal obligations
across members to limit subsidies that contribute to
overcapacity and overfishing, with minimal flexibilities that
some developing countries have been demanding. The
Biden Administration has not yet taken an official position.
E-commerce.  Members  extended the moratorium on
customs duties on electronic transmissions until MC12, but
it is unclear if the extension will be sustained thereafter,
given some developing countries' opposition. Separately,
the United States and over 80 members are negotiating a
plurilateral initiative on e-commerce. The co-conveners
noted progress in multiple areas such as e-signatures and
consumer protection, while data flows issues are still under
debate. They shared a consolidated text in December 2020
and aim for substantial progress by MC12. The United
States seeks an ambitious, high standard agreement.
Agriculture. Some observers warned that MC12 would be
deemed  a failure without some deal on agricultural issues.
Talks have stalled in recent years, but members continue to
exchange views on issues, including public stockholding
and special safeguard mechanisms for developing countries.
Given renewed attention to lack of compliance with WTO
notification requirements (e.g., on domestic support, export
subsidies), some experts see a transparency agreement as a
feasible outcome for MC12. Members are also discussing
exempting World  Food Programme  purchases for
humanitarian purposes from export restrictions.

COVI D-19 and WTO Reactions
In the wake of COVID-19, the WTO  DG  emphasized,
Maintaining open trade and investment flows will be
critical to protect jobs, prevent supply chain breakdown,
and ensure that vital products do not become unaffordable
for consumers. The WTO's latest forecast estimated a 9%
decline in global trade in 2020-a more optimistic outlook
than earlier assessments. While a recovery is expected in
2021, the extent depends on the duration of the pandemic
and countries' policy choices.
WTO Agreements and Trade in Medical Products
Several WTO  agreements are relevant to health-related
policy, such as technical barriers to trade, sanitary and
phytosanitary measures, services, and intellectual property


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