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                                                                                               April 21, 2020

WTO: Ministerial Delay, COVID-19, and Ongoing Issues


Overview
Due to the coronavirus pandemic (COVID-19), the World
Trade Organization (WTO) canceled its 12th Ministerial
Conference (MC12) planned for June 2020. The biennial
meeting, which usually involves active U.S. participation,
was widely anticipated as an action-forcing event for the
WTO,  amid serious challenges facing the multilateral
trading system. Some members hoped key results for
ongoing negotiations could help preserve the WTO's
relevance. In addition, a dispute settlement (DS) crisis
continues, with the Appellate Body ceasing to operate in
December  2019 and no consensus on solutions. Broader
reforms of the institution also remain under active
discussion, including some U.S. proposals. While MC12
and other meetings were suspended, members are
attempting to continue some WTO operations virtually.

The WTO   can play a unique role in coordinating global
trade responses, which could be criticalin mitigating the
grim global economic and trade outlookin the wake of
COVID-19.  The WTO  has committed to work with other
international org anizations to minimize disruptions tocoss-
border trade and global supply chains-in particular those
central to comb atting the virus-while s afeguarding public
health concerns. It has sought to informmembers of the
impacts on trade and encouraged themto notify WTO of
any trade-related meas ures taken in response to COVID-19.
The number of countries implementing trade res trictions,
including curbs on exports, has increased exponentially
since the beginning of 2020, raising debate among analysts
about the economic and policy rationales and imp acts, plus
questions about consistency with WTO rules. At thesame
time, other countries have committed to trade openness.

Members  of Congress haveexpres sed support for ongoing
W TO  reform efforts (see H.Res.746), sought clarification
on the Administration's positions, and proposedtrade-
related legislationin response to COVID-19.

MCI   2 Delay   and   Implications
After the declaration ofCOVID-19 as a pandemic,
Kazakhstan, the host forthe WTO's MC12, cancelled the
planned June meetings. Following mixed results coming out
of the last ministerial in 2017, the United States and other
W TO  members had hoped MC12  would mark a turning
point to conclude some negotiations. They also hoped to
announce significant progress on multiple initiatives,
demonstrating the value of the WTO. MC12 was to serve as
a critical forum for taking stockofvarious WTOreform
proposals (seebelow). A new date for MC12has not been
set, but will likely occur in 2021. Some negotiations and
other W TO activities continue in writing and virtually.
Members  are currently evaluating how those negotiations
should proceed and whether these formats can be used to
yield binding decisions.


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Select  Ongoing  Negotiations  of U.S. Interest
Fisheries. Members had committed to finish negotiations
on fisheries subsidies at MC12, an achievement many view
as criticalto upholding the WTO's legitimacy. Primarily
seeking to limit subsidies that contribute to overcapacity
and overfishing, negotiations continue in written exchanges,
and the negotiations chair is working to bridge differences.
The U.S. has supported equal obligations across members,
with minimal flexibilities for developing countries.
F-commerce.  Members  had extended the moratoriumon
customs duties on electronic transmissions until MC12, but
it is unclear if the extension willbe sustained, given the
opposition of some developing countries. Separately, the
United States and over 75 members are actively negotiating
a plurilateralinitiative on e-commerce. The United States
seeks an ambitious, high standard digital trade agreement.
The parties hadhoped to publish a consolidated text at
MC12  to gain momentumand  attract new participants.
Agriculture. Some observers warned thatMC12 would be
deemed  a failure without some agreementon agricultural
is sues. Talks have s talled in recent years, but members
continue to exchangeviews in writing on issues, including
public stockholding and special safeguard mechanisms for
developing countries. Given renewed attention to lack of
compliance with WTO  notificationrequirements (e.g., on
domestic support and export subsidies), some experts saw a
transparency agreement as a feasible outcome for MC12.

COVID- 9andWTOReactions
In the wake of COVID-19, the WTO Director-General
emphasized, Maintaining open trade and investment flows
will be critical to protectjobs, prevent supply chain
breakdown,  andensure that vitalproducts do not become
unaffordable for consumers. In early April, the WTO
is sued its trade forecast, es timating a plunge in global trade
in 2020, ranging from 13% to 32%. A recovery is expected
in 2021, but the extent depends on the duration of the
pandemic  and countries' policy choices. For the latter, the
WTO   has emphasized the importance of transparency.
WTO Agreements and Trade in Medical Products
Several WTO  agreements are relevant to health-related
policies, such as technical barriers to trade, sanitary and
phytosanitary meas ures, s ervices, and intellectual property
rights. Others guide implementation of policies, including
throughthe WTO's  fundamental principle of
nondiscrimination, as well as rules on subsidies. Specific
commitments  have contributed to liberalization of trade in
medical products: (1) tariff negotiations during the Uruguay
Round;  (2) a plurilateral Agreement on Pharmaceutical
Products, updated in 2011; and (3) the expanded plurilateral
Information Technology Agreementin 2015.
W  TO negotiations and agreements have improved market
access for medical products, but barriers remain. An April
2020 report by the WTO estimates $597 billion in annual
.conigress.gov

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